Incumbent Democrat Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race due to the state's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results favoring the party. Green benefits from incumbency, name recognition from his 2022 victory, and public approval tied to his response to the 2023 Maui wildfires. Republican primary contenders such as Gary Cordery and Ken Fujiyama remain low-profile with limited statewide support, while Democratic challengers in the August 8 primary have not emerged as serious threats. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include a significant late scandal, health-related withdrawal by Green, or an unusually strong Republican turnout, though these remain low-probability based on current polling and structural factors ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHawaii Governor Election Winner
Hawaii Governor Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
3%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$3,580 Vol.
94%
Republican
$4,952 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race due to the state's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results favoring the party. Green benefits from incumbency, name recognition from his 2022 victory, and public approval tied to his response to the 2023 Maui wildfires. Republican primary contenders such as Gary Cordery and Ken Fujiyama remain low-profile with limited statewide support, while Democratic challengers in the August 8 primary have not emerged as serious threats. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include a significant late scandal, health-related withdrawal by Green, or an unusually strong Republican turnout, though these remain low-probability based on current polling and structural factors ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
ভলিউম
$8,532শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race due to the state's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results favoring the party. Green benefits from incumbency, name recognition from his 2022 victory, and public approval tied to his response to the 2023 Maui wildfires. Republican primary contenders such as Gary Cordery and Ken Fujiyama remain low-profile with limited statewide support, while Democratic challengers in the August 8 primary have not emerged as serious threats. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include a significant late scandal, health-related withdrawal by Green, or an unusually strong Republican turnout, though these remain low-probability based on current polling and structural factors ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$8,532শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race due to the state's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results favoring the party. Green benefits from incumbency, name recognition from his 2022 victory, and public approval tied to his response to the 2023 Maui wildfires. Republican primary contenders such as Gary Cordery and Ken Fujiyama remain low-profile with limited statewide support, while Democratic challengers in the August 8 primary have not emerged as serious threats. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include a significant late scandal, health-related withdrawal by Green, or an unusually strong Republican turnout, though these remain low-probability based on current polling and structural factors ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা