Hawaii's 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and House voting patterns. Incumbent Democrat Ed Case secured the party's nomination in the August 2026 primary by a comfortable margin over state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole and other challengers, positioning him as the clear general-election frontrunner ahead of the November 3 contest. Republican nominees face structural barriers in this deep-blue district where Democrats routinely exceed 70 percent of the vote. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with historical margins, primary results, and nonpartisan race ratings labeling the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this environment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHI-01 House Election Winner
HI-01 House Election Winner
$30,037 Vol.
$30,037 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$30,037 Vol.
$30,037 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,777 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$15,259 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii's 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and House voting patterns. Incumbent Democrat Ed Case secured the party's nomination in the August 2026 primary by a comfortable margin over state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole and other challengers, positioning him as the clear general-election frontrunner ahead of the November 3 contest. Republican nominees face structural barriers in this deep-blue district where Democrats routinely exceed 70 percent of the vote. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with historical margins, primary results, and nonpartisan race ratings labeling the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ভলিউম
$30,037শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii's 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and House voting patterns. Incumbent Democrat Ed Case secured the party's nomination in the August 2026 primary by a comfortable margin over state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole and other challengers, positioning him as the clear general-election frontrunner ahead of the November 3 contest. Republican nominees face structural barriers in this deep-blue district where Democrats routinely exceed 70 percent of the vote. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with historical margins, primary results, and nonpartisan race ratings labeling the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$30,037শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hawaii's 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and House voting patterns. Incumbent Democrat Ed Case secured the party's nomination in the August 2026 primary by a comfortable margin over state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole and other challengers, positioning him as the clear general-election frontrunner ahead of the November 3 contest. Republican nominees face structural barriers in this deep-blue district where Democrats routinely exceed 70 percent of the vote. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with historical margins, primary results, and nonpartisan race ratings labeling the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this environment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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