Hawaii's 1st congressional district, centered on Honolulu and surrounding Oahu communities, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results. Incumbent Ed Case secured the Democratic nomination in the August 8, 2026 primary with a comfortable margin over state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole, positioning him to face Republican Adriel Lam in the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on the district's voting history, including Case's 2024 victory margin exceeding 70 percent. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome stems from these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or recent shifts in local voter alignment. Low-probability challenges could include a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing that overcomes the district's baseline lean.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHI-01 House Election Winner
HI-01 House Election Winner
$30,137 Vol.
$30,137 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$30,137 Vol.
$30,137 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,777 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$15,359 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii's 1st congressional district, centered on Honolulu and surrounding Oahu communities, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results. Incumbent Ed Case secured the Democratic nomination in the August 8, 2026 primary with a comfortable margin over state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole, positioning him to face Republican Adriel Lam in the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on the district's voting history, including Case's 2024 victory margin exceeding 70 percent. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome stems from these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or recent shifts in local voter alignment. Low-probability challenges could include a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing that overcomes the district's baseline lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ভলিউম
$30,137শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii's 1st congressional district, centered on Honolulu and surrounding Oahu communities, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results. Incumbent Ed Case secured the Democratic nomination in the August 8, 2026 primary with a comfortable margin over state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole, positioning him to face Republican Adriel Lam in the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on the district's voting history, including Case's 2024 victory margin exceeding 70 percent. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome stems from these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or recent shifts in local voter alignment. Low-probability challenges could include a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing that overcomes the district's baseline lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$30,137শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hawaii's 1st congressional district, centered on Honolulu and surrounding Oahu communities, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results. Incumbent Ed Case secured the Democratic nomination in the August 8, 2026 primary with a comfortable margin over state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole, positioning him to face Republican Adriel Lam in the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on the district's voting history, including Case's 2024 victory margin exceeding 70 percent. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome stems from these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or recent shifts in local voter alignment. Low-probability challenges could include a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing that overcomes the district's baseline lean.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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