Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 91% in Virginia's 3rd Congressional District House race, driven by longtime incumbent Robert C. "Bobby" Scott's commanding position in this solidly Democratic seat with a Cook PVI of D+18—the 73rd most Democratic district nationally. Scott, seeking re-election after winning 67-70% in recent cycles, faces only Justin Maffett in the August 4 Democratic primary, where his fundraising edge ($158,000 cash on hand as of late March) bolsters frontrunner status; no Republicans have filed ahead of the May 26 deadline, with independents James Taylor and Dawn Vasquez posing minimal threat. All ratings (Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections) deem it Solid/Safe Democratic. Realistic challenges include a late high-profile Republican recruit, an upset in the Democratic primary, Scott's health at age 78, or a strong national Republican midterm wave, though historical base rates favor the incumbent in this minority-majority battleground absent major shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডVA-03 House Election Winner
VA-03 House Election Winner
$18,375 Vol.
$18,375 Vol.
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
8%
$18,375 Vol.
$18,375 Vol.
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 91% in Virginia's 3rd Congressional District House race, driven by longtime incumbent Robert C. "Bobby" Scott's commanding position in this solidly Democratic seat with a Cook PVI of D+18—the 73rd most Democratic district nationally. Scott, seeking re-election after winning 67-70% in recent cycles, faces only Justin Maffett in the August 4 Democratic primary, where his fundraising edge ($158,000 cash on hand as of late March) bolsters frontrunner status; no Republicans have filed ahead of the May 26 deadline, with independents James Taylor and Dawn Vasquez posing minimal threat. All ratings (Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections) deem it Solid/Safe Democratic. Realistic challenges include a late high-profile Republican recruit, an upset in the Democratic primary, Scott's health at age 78, or a strong national Republican midterm wave, though historical base rates favor the incumbent in this minority-majority battleground absent major shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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