Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey's commanding lead in recent polling and sky-high favorability sustain his 82.5% implied probability as the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary winner on September 1, reflecting trader consensus on his enduring popularity despite age-related critiques from challenger Rep. Seth Moulton. A Suffolk University/Boston Globe survey from April 9-13 among likely primary voters showed Markey at 47%, Moulton at 30%, and 20% undecided, with Markey's 84% favorable rating underscoring incumbency advantages akin to his 2020 defeat of Joe Kennedy III. Rep. Ayanna Pressley's December 2025 decision to forgo the race and seek House reelection further consolidates support behind Markey, while Moulton's generational change pitch garners 12.5% amid low voter concern over age (only 26% cite it as a major factor). Longshot Alexander Rikleen trails at 0.3%.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডEd Markey 83%
Seth Moulton 13%
Ayanna Pressley 2.3%
Alexander Rikleen <1%
Ed Markey
83%
Seth Moulton
13%
Ayanna Pressley
2%
Alexander Rikleen
<1%
Ed Markey 83%
Seth Moulton 13%
Ayanna Pressley 2.3%
Alexander Rikleen <1%
Ed Markey
83%
Seth Moulton
13%
Ayanna Pressley
2%
Alexander Rikleen
<1%
If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey's commanding lead in recent polling and sky-high favorability sustain his 82.5% implied probability as the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary winner on September 1, reflecting trader consensus on his enduring popularity despite age-related critiques from challenger Rep. Seth Moulton. A Suffolk University/Boston Globe survey from April 9-13 among likely primary voters showed Markey at 47%, Moulton at 30%, and 20% undecided, with Markey's 84% favorable rating underscoring incumbency advantages akin to his 2020 defeat of Joe Kennedy III. Rep. Ayanna Pressley's December 2025 decision to forgo the race and seek House reelection further consolidates support behind Markey, while Moulton's generational change pitch garners 12.5% amid low voter concern over age (only 26% cite it as a major factor). Longshot Alexander Rikleen trails at 0.3%.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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