Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson dominates trader consensus at 83% implied probability for Republican Party victory in SC-02, a R+7 district Trump carried by 14 points in 2024 where Wilson won 59.5% last cycle, bolstered by his $669,000 fundraising haul through late March dwarfing rivals. The March 30 filing deadline yielded a fragmented Democratic primary field—Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, David Robinson II, Daniel Shrief—with minimal cash on hand, and token GOP challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond unlikely to unseat Wilson ahead of the June 9 primaries. Competitive pricing near 50% on candidates A, B, and Other reflects primary uncertainty and third-party entries like Dayna Alane Smith (Workers Party), though no polls or scandals have shifted the Solid Republican rating.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$22,252 Vol.
$22,252 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
16%
$22,252 Vol.
$22,252 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,057 Vol.
83%
Democratic Party
$14,196 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson dominates trader consensus at 83% implied probability for Republican Party victory in SC-02, a R+7 district Trump carried by 14 points in 2024 where Wilson won 59.5% last cycle, bolstered by his $669,000 fundraising haul through late March dwarfing rivals. The March 30 filing deadline yielded a fragmented Democratic primary field—Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, David Robinson II, Daniel Shrief—with minimal cash on hand, and token GOP challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond unlikely to unseat Wilson ahead of the June 9 primaries. Competitive pricing near 50% on candidates A, B, and Other reflects primary uncertainty and third-party entries like Dayna Alane Smith (Workers Party), though no polls or scandals have shifted the Solid Republican rating.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$22,252শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson dominates trader consensus at 83% implied probability for Republican Party victory in SC-02, a R+7 district Trump carried by 14 points in 2024 where Wilson won 59.5% last cycle, bolstered by his $669,000 fundraising haul through late March dwarfing rivals. The March 30 filing deadline yielded a fragmented Democratic primary field—Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, David Robinson II, Daniel Shrief—with minimal cash on hand, and token GOP challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond unlikely to unseat Wilson ahead of the June 9 primaries. Competitive pricing near 50% on candidates A, B, and Other reflects primary uncertainty and third-party entries like Dayna Alane Smith (Workers Party), though no polls or scandals have shifted the Solid Republican rating.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$22,252শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson dominates trader consensus at 83% implied probability for Republican Party victory in SC-02, a R+7 district Trump carried by 14 points in 2024 where Wilson won 59.5% last cycle, bolstered by his $669,000 fundraising haul through late March dwarfing rivals. The March 30 filing deadline yielded a fragmented Democratic primary field—Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, David Robinson II, Daniel Shrief—with minimal cash on hand, and token GOP challengers Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond unlikely to unseat Wilson ahead of the June 9 primaries. Competitive pricing near 50% on candidates A, B, and Other reflects primary uncertainty and third-party entries like Dayna Alane Smith (Workers Party), though no polls or scandals have shifted the Solid Republican rating.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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