Incumbent Alma Adams secured the Democratic nomination for North Carolina’s 12th congressional district in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent implied probability. Recent redistricting in late 2025 preserved the seat’s partisan composition, and no significant polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national political realignments have emerged in the past month to alter that positioning. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for such safe seats suggest limited volatility ahead of the November 3 contest.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNC-12 House Election Winner
NC-12 House Election Winner
$34,271 Vol.
$34,271 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$34,271 Vol.
$34,271 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,154 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$18,117 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Alma Adams secured the Democratic nomination for North Carolina’s 12th congressional district in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent implied probability. Recent redistricting in late 2025 preserved the seat’s partisan composition, and no significant polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national political realignments have emerged in the past month to alter that positioning. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for such safe seats suggest limited volatility ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ভলিউম
$34,271শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Alma Adams secured the Democratic nomination for North Carolina’s 12th congressional district in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent implied probability. Recent redistricting in late 2025 preserved the seat’s partisan composition, and no significant polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national political realignments have emerged in the past month to alter that positioning. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for such safe seats suggest limited volatility ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$34,271শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Alma Adams secured the Democratic nomination for North Carolina’s 12th congressional district in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent implied probability. Recent redistricting in late 2025 preserved the seat’s partisan composition, and no significant polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national political realignments have emerged in the past month to alter that positioning. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for such safe seats suggest limited volatility ahead of the November 3 contest.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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