Republican Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with prediction markets assigning the Republican Party a 95.9% implied probability of victory. The district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+19, and nonpartisan raters including Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections have classified the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Meuser, the incumbent since 2019, faced no primary opposition after the May 19, 2026 primaries, while Democrat Rachel Wallace also advanced unopposed. This structural advantage, combined with limited fundraising or polling activity on the Democratic side, underpins trader consensus. A late-breaking scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and current indicators show few pathways for an upset.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPA-09 House Election Winner
PA-09 House Election Winner
$22,210 Vol.
$22,210 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
4%
$22,210 Vol.
$22,210 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$14,388 Vol.
96%
Democratic Party
$7,822 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with prediction markets assigning the Republican Party a 95.9% implied probability of victory. The district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+19, and nonpartisan raters including Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections have classified the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Meuser, the incumbent since 2019, faced no primary opposition after the May 19, 2026 primaries, while Democrat Rachel Wallace also advanced unopposed. This structural advantage, combined with limited fundraising or polling activity on the Democratic side, underpins trader consensus. A late-breaking scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and current indicators show few pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$22,210শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with prediction markets assigning the Republican Party a 95.9% implied probability of victory. The district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+19, and nonpartisan raters including Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections have classified the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Meuser, the incumbent since 2019, faced no primary opposition after the May 19, 2026 primaries, while Democrat Rachel Wallace also advanced unopposed. This structural advantage, combined with limited fundraising or polling activity on the Democratic side, underpins trader consensus. A late-breaking scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and current indicators show few pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$22,210শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with prediction markets assigning the Republican Party a 95.9% implied probability of victory. The district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+19, and nonpartisan raters including Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections have classified the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Meuser, the incumbent since 2019, faced no primary opposition after the May 19, 2026 primaries, while Democrat Rachel Wallace also advanced unopposed. This structural advantage, combined with limited fundraising or polling activity on the Democratic side, underpins trader consensus. A late-breaking scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and current indicators show few pathways for an upset.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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