Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar (D) commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party in Michigan's 13th Congressional District due to the seat's strong D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, consistent large Democratic margins (68.6% in 2024), and Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Thanedar's $6.4 million cash-on-hand from the latest April quarterly filing dwarfs challengers ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primary, where he faces Shelby Campbell, Anthony Carbonaro, Naz Hassan, and Donavan McKinney after Adam Hollier withdrew. Weak Republican primary field (Articia Bomer, Andrew Lorenz) and independent Maurice Morton pose minimal threat in this Detroit-area stronghold. Late scandals, a primary upset yielding a flawed nominee, or anomalous turnout could shift odds, though structural advantages make Republican victory at 6.5% improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMI-13 House Election Winner
MI-13 House Election Winner
$30,723 Vol.
$30,723 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$30,723 Vol.
$30,723 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,113 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$11,610 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar (D) commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party in Michigan's 13th Congressional District due to the seat's strong D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, consistent large Democratic margins (68.6% in 2024), and Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Thanedar's $6.4 million cash-on-hand from the latest April quarterly filing dwarfs challengers ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primary, where he faces Shelby Campbell, Anthony Carbonaro, Naz Hassan, and Donavan McKinney after Adam Hollier withdrew. Weak Republican primary field (Articia Bomer, Andrew Lorenz) and independent Maurice Morton pose minimal threat in this Detroit-area stronghold. Late scandals, a primary upset yielding a flawed nominee, or anomalous turnout could shift odds, though structural advantages make Republican victory at 6.5% improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$30,723শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar (D) commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party in Michigan's 13th Congressional District due to the seat's strong D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, consistent large Democratic margins (68.6% in 2024), and Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Thanedar's $6.4 million cash-on-hand from the latest April quarterly filing dwarfs challengers ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primary, where he faces Shelby Campbell, Anthony Carbonaro, Naz Hassan, and Donavan McKinney after Adam Hollier withdrew. Weak Republican primary field (Articia Bomer, Andrew Lorenz) and independent Maurice Morton pose minimal threat in this Detroit-area stronghold. Late scandals, a primary upset yielding a flawed nominee, or anomalous turnout could shift odds, though structural advantages make Republican victory at 6.5% improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$30,723শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar (D) commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party in Michigan's 13th Congressional District due to the seat's strong D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, consistent large Democratic margins (68.6% in 2024), and Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Thanedar's $6.4 million cash-on-hand from the latest April quarterly filing dwarfs challengers ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primary, where he faces Shelby Campbell, Anthony Carbonaro, Naz Hassan, and Donavan McKinney after Adam Hollier withdrew. Weak Republican primary field (Articia Bomer, Andrew Lorenz) and independent Maurice Morton pose minimal threat in this Detroit-area stronghold. Late scandals, a primary upset yielding a flawed nominee, or anomalous turnout could shift odds, though structural advantages make Republican victory at 6.5% improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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