Recent numerical weather prediction models for Beijing indicate a daily maximum near 31–33°C on July 18, driven by typical mid-July synoptic patterns featuring warm, humid southerly flow under a subtropical high with embedded convective activity. Scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover could cap peak readings by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while clear intervals or delayed precipitation would allow temperatures to reach or exceed 33°C. Urban heat-island effects and local wind patterns add variability to official station measurements used for resolution. Market-implied probabilities around 26% for 31°C and 24% for 32°C reflect traders weighting the balance between forecast guidance and these near-term atmospheric uncertainties ahead of final model runs.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Beijing on July 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 18?
31°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$82,054 Vol.
$82,054 Vol.
Jul 18, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$82,054 Vol.
$82,054 Vol.
Jul 18, 2026
28°C or below
$8,280 Vol.
No
29°C
$13,925 Vol.
No
30°C
$10,950 Vol.
No
31°C
$10,133 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$12,057 Vol.
No
33°C
$9,356 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,214 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,041 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,649 Vol.
No
37°C
$222 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$228 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models for Beijing indicate a daily maximum near 31–33°C on July 18, driven by typical mid-July synoptic patterns featuring warm, humid southerly flow under a subtropical high with embedded convective activity. Scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover could cap peak readings by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while clear intervals or delayed precipitation would allow temperatures to reach or exceed 33°C. Urban heat-island effects and local wind patterns add variability to official station measurements used for resolution. Market-implied probabilities around 26% for 31°C and 24% for 32°C reflect traders weighting the balance between forecast guidance and these near-term atmospheric uncertainties ahead of final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$82,054শেষ তারিখ
Jul 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models for Beijing indicate a daily maximum near 31–33°C on July 18, driven by typical mid-July synoptic patterns featuring warm, humid southerly flow under a subtropical high with embedded convective activity. Scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover could cap peak readings by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while clear intervals or delayed precipitation would allow temperatures to reach or exceed 33°C. Urban heat-island effects and local wind patterns add variability to official station measurements used for resolution. Market-implied probabilities around 26% for 31°C and 24% for 32°C reflect traders weighting the balance between forecast guidance and these near-term atmospheric uncertainties ahead of final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$82,054শেষ তারিখ
Jul 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Recent numerical weather prediction models for Beijing indicate a daily maximum near 31–33°C on July 18, driven by typical mid-July synoptic patterns featuring warm, humid southerly flow under a subtropical high with embedded convective activity. Scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover could cap peak readings by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while clear intervals or delayed precipitation would allow temperatures to reach or exceed 33°C. Urban heat-island effects and local wind patterns add variability to official station measurements used for resolution. Market-implied probabilities around 26% for 31°C and 24% for 32°C reflect traders weighting the balance between forecast guidance and these near-term atmospheric uncertainties ahead of final model runs.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা