Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 18–20°C outcomes for Cape Town’s July 16 maximum because mid-winter climatology, shaped by the cold Benguela Current and frequent Atlantic cold fronts, typically produces daytime highs near 17°C. Recent South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus show a mild ridge building after earlier fog and brisk onshore flow, supporting modest warming of 1–3°C above average while limiting further gains. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover, wind mixing, and frontal timing, which can shift the daily peak by a degree or two. With resolution hinging on official South African Weather Service observations, the tight clustering around 18–20°C reflects uncertainty in the final 48-hour forecast adjustments rather than any single dominant driver.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 16?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$60,086 Vol.
$60,086 Vol.
Jul 16, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$60,086 Vol.
$60,086 Vol.
Jul 16, 2026
14°C or below
$8,578 Vol.
No
15°C
$9,189 Vol.
No
16°C
$6,378 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,726 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,523 Vol.
No
19°C
$6,873 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$6,426 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,474 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,911 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,313 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$694 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 18–20°C outcomes for Cape Town’s July 16 maximum because mid-winter climatology, shaped by the cold Benguela Current and frequent Atlantic cold fronts, typically produces daytime highs near 17°C. Recent South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus show a mild ridge building after earlier fog and brisk onshore flow, supporting modest warming of 1–3°C above average while limiting further gains. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover, wind mixing, and frontal timing, which can shift the daily peak by a degree or two. With resolution hinging on official South African Weather Service observations, the tight clustering around 18–20°C reflects uncertainty in the final 48-hour forecast adjustments rather than any single dominant driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 14, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$60,086শেষ তারিখ
Jul 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 14, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 18–20°C outcomes for Cape Town’s July 16 maximum because mid-winter climatology, shaped by the cold Benguela Current and frequent Atlantic cold fronts, typically produces daytime highs near 17°C. Recent South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus show a mild ridge building after earlier fog and brisk onshore flow, supporting modest warming of 1–3°C above average while limiting further gains. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover, wind mixing, and frontal timing, which can shift the daily peak by a degree or two. With resolution hinging on official South African Weather Service observations, the tight clustering around 18–20°C reflects uncertainty in the final 48-hour forecast adjustments rather than any single dominant driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$60,086শেষ তারিখ
Jul 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 14, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 18–20°C outcomes for Cape Town’s July 16 maximum because mid-winter climatology, shaped by the cold Benguela Current and frequent Atlantic cold fronts, typically produces daytime highs near 17°C. Recent South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus show a mild ridge building after earlier fog and brisk onshore flow, supporting modest warming of 1–3°C above average while limiting further gains. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover, wind mixing, and frontal timing, which can shift the daily peak by a degree or two. With resolution hinging on official South African Weather Service observations, the tight clustering around 18–20°C reflects uncertainty in the final 48-hour forecast adjustments rather than any single dominant driver.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা