Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 20°C at Cape Town International Airport on May 6, driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts projecting a maximum near 19–20°C amid cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds from a nearby cut-off low system affecting the Western Cape. Current observations align with this, showing daytime temps peaking around 20°C under overcast skies and coastal influences that cap solar heating, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover at 20–22°C. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS reinforce stability, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief spikes to 21°C+, though persistent cloud cover and sea breezes make this improbable; final SAWS airport data will confirm resolution by evening.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 6?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 6?
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$45,349 Vol.
$45,349 Vol.
May 6, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$45,349 Vol.
$45,349 Vol.
May 6, 2026
13°C or below
$856 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,311 Vol.
No
15°C
$2,731 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,928 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,174 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,758 Vol.
No
19°C
$11,078 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,334 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$4,754 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,197 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$5,229 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 20°C at Cape Town International Airport on May 6, driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts projecting a maximum near 19–20°C amid cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds from a nearby cut-off low system affecting the Western Cape. Current observations align with this, showing daytime temps peaking around 20°C under overcast skies and coastal influences that cap solar heating, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover at 20–22°C. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS reinforce stability, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief spikes to 21°C+, though persistent cloud cover and sea breezes make this improbable; final SAWS airport data will confirm resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
ভলিউম
$45,349শেষ তারিখ
May 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 20°C at Cape Town International Airport on May 6, driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts projecting a maximum near 19–20°C amid cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds from a nearby cut-off low system affecting the Western Cape. Current observations align with this, showing daytime temps peaking around 20°C under overcast skies and coastal influences that cap solar heating, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover at 20–22°C. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS reinforce stability, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief spikes to 21°C+, though persistent cloud cover and sea breezes make this improbable; final SAWS airport data will confirm resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$45,349শেষ তারিখ
May 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 20°C at Cape Town International Airport on May 6, driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts projecting a maximum near 19–20°C amid cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds from a nearby cut-off low system affecting the Western Cape. Current observations align with this, showing daytime temps peaking around 20°C under overcast skies and coastal influences that cap solar heating, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover at 20–22°C. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS reinforce stability, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief spikes to 21°C+, though persistent cloud cover and sea breezes make this improbable; final SAWS airport data will confirm resolution by evening.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা