Current forecasts from NOAA and other models indicate Chicago's July 12 high will likely fall near the climatological normal of 84.8°F, with trader sentiment split between the 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins due to modest uncertainty in afternoon conditions. Key differentiating factors include the strength of any lake breeze moderating temperatures along the shoreline, potential for scattered convection or increased cloud cover reducing peak heating, and subtle shifts in the position of a weak frontal boundary. Historical analogs show mid-July highs in this range occur frequently, but small errors in model timing or moisture can swing the observed maximum across bin thresholds. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chicago on July 12?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 12?
86-87°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$25,467 Vol.
$25,467 Vol.
Jul 12, 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$25,467 Vol.
$25,467 Vol.
Jul 12, 2026
79°F or below
$455 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,628 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$3,022 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$4,112 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$5,598 Vol.
Yes
88-89°F
$5,889 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$2,604 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$1,173 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$311 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$331 Vol.
No
98°F or higher
$345 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and other models indicate Chicago's July 12 high will likely fall near the climatological normal of 84.8°F, with trader sentiment split between the 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins due to modest uncertainty in afternoon conditions. Key differentiating factors include the strength of any lake breeze moderating temperatures along the shoreline, potential for scattered convection or increased cloud cover reducing peak heating, and subtle shifts in the position of a weak frontal boundary. Historical analogs show mid-July highs in this range occur frequently, but small errors in model timing or moisture can swing the observed maximum across bin thresholds. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ভলিউম
$25,467শেষ তারিখ
Jul 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and other models indicate Chicago's July 12 high will likely fall near the climatological normal of 84.8°F, with trader sentiment split between the 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins due to modest uncertainty in afternoon conditions. Key differentiating factors include the strength of any lake breeze moderating temperatures along the shoreline, potential for scattered convection or increased cloud cover reducing peak heating, and subtle shifts in the position of a weak frontal boundary. Historical analogs show mid-July highs in this range occur frequently, but small errors in model timing or moisture can swing the observed maximum across bin thresholds. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$25,467শেষ তারিখ
Jul 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Current forecasts from NOAA and other models indicate Chicago's July 12 high will likely fall near the climatological normal of 84.8°F, with trader sentiment split between the 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins due to modest uncertainty in afternoon conditions. Key differentiating factors include the strength of any lake breeze moderating temperatures along the shoreline, potential for scattered convection or increased cloud cover reducing peak heating, and subtle shifts in the position of a weak frontal boundary. Historical analogs show mid-July highs in this range occur frequently, but small errors in model timing or moisture can swing the observed maximum across bin thresholds. Updated National Weather Service guidance and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা