Recent forecasts from Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and global models indicate heavy rainfall beginning late August 28 and persisting through August 29, driven by moisture from typhoon remnants interacting with a cold air intrusion. This setup favors widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and evaporative cooling that limits daytime surface heating, keeping maximum temperatures mostly in the 27–32 °C range. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 29–31 °C depending on exact rainfall timing and intensity over urban stations, with western districts cooling more sharply. The closely bunched market odds around 28–31 °C reflect this narrow but still uncertain window, as small shifts in precipitation onset or steering flow could push the daily peak one degree either way before resolution.