Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles show Dallas high temperatures for August 2 clustering tightly around 96–99°F, producing the closely matched leading market shares. Afternoon heating under mostly clear skies, weak southerly flow, and dew points in the low 70s support this range, while any increase in cloud cover or a subtle frontal passage could trim readings into the mid-90s. Historical August maxima average near 96°F, but interannual variability and model spread on boundary-layer mixing keep the 94–99°F band competitive. Traders are watching the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus local observations for shifts in the thermal ridge strength.