Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight a warm, humid subtropical airmass over southern China as the main driver behind trader focus on peak temperatures near the upper 30s. Persistent high pressure and light winds favor strong daytime heating in Guangzhou's urban environment, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms could enhance cloud cover and cap readings depending on timing and intensity. Model spread arises from uncertainties in precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local land-sea breezes, which historically produce day-to-day variations of 2–4°C in July. These factors create the observed wide probability distribution, with traders weighting outcomes based on the latest model runs and observed trends of 33–35°C highs earlier in the month. Updated forecasts ahead of July 12 will likely refine the consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Guangzhou on July 12?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 12?
39°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$59,626 Vol.
$59,626 Vol.
Jul 12, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$59,626 Vol.
$59,626 Vol.
Jul 12, 2026
31°C or below
$1,806 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,536 Vol.
No
33°C
$495 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,336 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,315 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,559 Vol.
No
37°C
$5,914 Vol.
No
38°C
$10,125 Vol.
No
39°C
$9,961 Vol.
Yes
40°C
$9,467 Vol.
No
41°C or higher
$8,113 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight a warm, humid subtropical airmass over southern China as the main driver behind trader focus on peak temperatures near the upper 30s. Persistent high pressure and light winds favor strong daytime heating in Guangzhou's urban environment, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms could enhance cloud cover and cap readings depending on timing and intensity. Model spread arises from uncertainties in precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local land-sea breezes, which historically produce day-to-day variations of 2–4°C in July. These factors create the observed wide probability distribution, with traders weighting outcomes based on the latest model runs and observed trends of 33–35°C highs earlier in the month. Updated forecasts ahead of July 12 will likely refine the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$59,626শেষ তারিখ
Jul 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight a warm, humid subtropical airmass over southern China as the main driver behind trader focus on peak temperatures near the upper 30s. Persistent high pressure and light winds favor strong daytime heating in Guangzhou's urban environment, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms could enhance cloud cover and cap readings depending on timing and intensity. Model spread arises from uncertainties in precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local land-sea breezes, which historically produce day-to-day variations of 2–4°C in July. These factors create the observed wide probability distribution, with traders weighting outcomes based on the latest model runs and observed trends of 33–35°C highs earlier in the month. Updated forecasts ahead of July 12 will likely refine the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$59,626শেষ তারিখ
Jul 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight a warm, humid subtropical airmass over southern China as the main driver behind trader focus on peak temperatures near the upper 30s. Persistent high pressure and light winds favor strong daytime heating in Guangzhou's urban environment, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms could enhance cloud cover and cap readings depending on timing and intensity. Model spread arises from uncertainties in precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local land-sea breezes, which historically produce day-to-day variations of 2–4°C in July. These factors create the observed wide probability distribution, with traders weighting outcomes based on the latest model runs and observed trends of 33–35°C highs earlier in the month. Updated forecasts ahead of July 12 will likely refine the consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা