Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 29°C high temperature in Guangzhou today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model consensus projecting peaks of 28–29°C at Baiyun International Airport amid persistent cloud cover, 80% humidity, and scattered showers that limit surface heating and convective potential. Midday observations confirm 27–28°C readings, aligning with early May climatological averages of 29.3°C during subtropical monsoon onset, when overcast conditions typically cap daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling brief solar insolation spikes or urban heat island amplification pushing briefly to 30°C, though robust model agreement and stable atmospheric patterns render this unlikely; track hourly airport METAR data for resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 2?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 2?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,698 Vol.
$43,698 Vol.
May 2, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,698 Vol.
$43,698 Vol.
May 2, 2026
23°C or below
$1,653 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,159 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,877 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,433 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,343 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,913 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,466 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$4,108 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,731 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,787 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$5,229 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 29°C high temperature in Guangzhou today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model consensus projecting peaks of 28–29°C at Baiyun International Airport amid persistent cloud cover, 80% humidity, and scattered showers that limit surface heating and convective potential. Midday observations confirm 27–28°C readings, aligning with early May climatological averages of 29.3°C during subtropical monsoon onset, when overcast conditions typically cap daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling brief solar insolation spikes or urban heat island amplification pushing briefly to 30°C, though robust model agreement and stable atmospheric patterns render this unlikely; track hourly airport METAR data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 30, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
ভলিউম
$43,698শেষ তারিখ
May 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 12:34 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 29°C high temperature in Guangzhou today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model consensus projecting peaks of 28–29°C at Baiyun International Airport amid persistent cloud cover, 80% humidity, and scattered showers that limit surface heating and convective potential. Midday observations confirm 27–28°C readings, aligning with early May climatological averages of 29.3°C during subtropical monsoon onset, when overcast conditions typically cap daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling brief solar insolation spikes or urban heat island amplification pushing briefly to 30°C, though robust model agreement and stable atmospheric patterns render this unlikely; track hourly airport METAR data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$43,698শেষ তারিখ
May 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 12:34 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 29°C high temperature in Guangzhou today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model consensus projecting peaks of 28–29°C at Baiyun International Airport amid persistent cloud cover, 80% humidity, and scattered showers that limit surface heating and convective potential. Midday observations confirm 27–28°C readings, aligning with early May climatological averages of 29.3°C during subtropical monsoon onset, when overcast conditions typically cap daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling brief solar insolation spikes or urban heat island amplification pushing briefly to 30°C, though robust model agreement and stable atmospheric patterns render this unlikely; track hourly airport METAR data for resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা