The market-implied 100% odds on 32°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 30 stem directly from official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that daily maximum. Persistent very hot weather conditions, driven by regional atmospheric patterns and elevated humidity, aligned with model forecasts projecting a peak near this threshold rather than the seasonal average of roughly 28–29°C. Recent data releases from monitoring agencies reinforced this outcome with no significant downward revisions, while cooler monsoon influences remained too weak to alter the result. Minor scenarios such as localized measurement adjustments or unverified microclimate effects could theoretically shift the recorded value, but current observational consensus leaves little room for deviation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 30?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 30?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$168,827 Vol.
$168,827 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$168,827 Vol.
$168,827 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 28, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
The market-implied 100% odds on 32°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 30 stem directly from official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that daily maximum. Persistent very hot weather conditions, driven by regional atmospheric patterns and elevated humidity, aligned with model forecasts projecting a peak near this threshold rather than the seasonal average of roughly 28–29°C. Recent data releases from monitoring agencies reinforced this outcome with no significant downward revisions, while cooler monsoon influences remained too weak to alter the result. Minor scenarios such as localized measurement adjustments or unverified microclimate effects could theoretically shift the recorded value, but current observational consensus leaves little room for deviation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডসম্পর্কিত
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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