The National Weather Service's latest guidance for Houston projects a high temperature of 84-87°F inland on May 5, fueled by south winds of 5-15 mph ushering warm, moist Gulf air amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and isolated shower chances. Recent model ensembles, including high-resolution runs updated within the last 24 hours, show consensus peaks near 86°F during afternoon hours, far exceeding the 78°F market threshold and aligning with early May climatological norms averaging 85°F. This drives the 100% trader-implied probability for 78°F or higher, backed by morning observations already in the mid-70s°F. Only an unforeseen surge in thunderstorm coverage or wind shift could suppress highs below 78°F, though current outlooks deem this unlikely; track NOAA hourly data and 2 p.m. CDT updates for confirmation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Houston on May 5?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 5?
78°F or higher 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$62,116 Vol.
$62,116 Vol.
May 5, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
Yes
78°F or higher 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$62,116 Vol.
$62,116 Vol.
May 5, 2026
59°F or below
$552 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$916 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$678 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$3,054 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$4,517 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$3,250 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$4,381 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$4,069 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$5,221 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$15,707 Vol.
No
78°F or higher
$19,773 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest guidance for Houston projects a high temperature of 84-87°F inland on May 5, fueled by south winds of 5-15 mph ushering warm, moist Gulf air amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and isolated shower chances. Recent model ensembles, including high-resolution runs updated within the last 24 hours, show consensus peaks near 86°F during afternoon hours, far exceeding the 78°F market threshold and aligning with early May climatological norms averaging 85°F. This drives the 100% trader-implied probability for 78°F or higher, backed by morning observations already in the mid-70s°F. Only an unforeseen surge in thunderstorm coverage or wind shift could suppress highs below 78°F, though current outlooks deem this unlikely; track NOAA hourly data and 2 p.m. CDT updates for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ভলিউম
$62,116শেষ তারিখ
May 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest guidance for Houston projects a high temperature of 84-87°F inland on May 5, fueled by south winds of 5-15 mph ushering warm, moist Gulf air amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and isolated shower chances. Recent model ensembles, including high-resolution runs updated within the last 24 hours, show consensus peaks near 86°F during afternoon hours, far exceeding the 78°F market threshold and aligning with early May climatological norms averaging 85°F. This drives the 100% trader-implied probability for 78°F or higher, backed by morning observations already in the mid-70s°F. Only an unforeseen surge in thunderstorm coverage or wind shift could suppress highs below 78°F, though current outlooks deem this unlikely; track NOAA hourly data and 2 p.m. CDT updates for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$62,116শেষ তারিখ
May 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
The National Weather Service's latest guidance for Houston projects a high temperature of 84-87°F inland on May 5, fueled by south winds of 5-15 mph ushering warm, moist Gulf air amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and isolated shower chances. Recent model ensembles, including high-resolution runs updated within the last 24 hours, show consensus peaks near 86°F during afternoon hours, far exceeding the 78°F market threshold and aligning with early May climatological norms averaging 85°F. This drives the 100% trader-implied probability for 78°F or higher, backed by morning observations already in the mid-70s°F. Only an unforeseen surge in thunderstorm coverage or wind shift could suppress highs below 78°F, though current outlooks deem this unlikely; track NOAA hourly data and 2 p.m. CDT updates for confirmation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা