India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 31°C in Lucknow on May 4 under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 33°C or below as clouds reduce solar insolation and convective cooling suppresses daytime heating. Yesterday's observed high of 33.3°C—6.1°C below normal—reflects persistent moisture from recent western disturbances and a weak trough over the Indo-Gangetic Plain, deviating from May's climatological average of 38–41°C amid late-April heatwaves exceeding 42°C. Model ensembles align on subdued peaks, with official Amausi station data resolving the market by evening; realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or stalled precipitation enabling radiative heating above 33°C, though thunderstorm warnings indicate low likelihood.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 4?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 4?
33°C or below 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$46,133 Vol.
$46,133 Vol.
May 4, 2026
33°C or below
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
33°C or below 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$46,133 Vol.
$46,133 Vol.
May 4, 2026
33°C or below
$13,428 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$8,071 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,383 Vol.
No
36°C
$8,941 Vol.
No
37°C
$5,439 Vol.
No
38°C
$1,693 Vol.
No
39°C
$1,257 Vol.
No
40°C
$477 Vol.
No
41°C
$673 Vol.
No
42°C
$348 Vol.
No
43°C or higher
$422 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 31°C in Lucknow on May 4 under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 33°C or below as clouds reduce solar insolation and convective cooling suppresses daytime heating. Yesterday's observed high of 33.3°C—6.1°C below normal—reflects persistent moisture from recent western disturbances and a weak trough over the Indo-Gangetic Plain, deviating from May's climatological average of 38–41°C amid late-April heatwaves exceeding 42°C. Model ensembles align on subdued peaks, with official Amausi station data resolving the market by evening; realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or stalled precipitation enabling radiative heating above 33°C, though thunderstorm warnings indicate low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ভলিউম
$46,133শেষ তারিখ
May 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: Yes
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 31°C in Lucknow on May 4 under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 33°C or below as clouds reduce solar insolation and convective cooling suppresses daytime heating. Yesterday's observed high of 33.3°C—6.1°C below normal—reflects persistent moisture from recent western disturbances and a weak trough over the Indo-Gangetic Plain, deviating from May's climatological average of 38–41°C amid late-April heatwaves exceeding 42°C. Model ensembles align on subdued peaks, with official Amausi station data resolving the market by evening; realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or stalled precipitation enabling radiative heating above 33°C, though thunderstorm warnings indicate low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$46,133শেষ তারিখ
May 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: Yes
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: Yes
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 31°C in Lucknow on May 4 under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 33°C or below as clouds reduce solar insolation and convective cooling suppresses daytime heating. Yesterday's observed high of 33.3°C—6.1°C below normal—reflects persistent moisture from recent western disturbances and a weak trough over the Indo-Gangetic Plain, deviating from May's climatological average of 38–41°C amid late-April heatwaves exceeding 42°C. Model ensembles align on subdued peaks, with official Amausi station data resolving the market by evening; realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or stalled precipitation enabling radiative heating above 33°C, though thunderstorm warnings indicate low likelihood.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা