Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on July 20 will likely reach 36–38°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and subsidence warming. This aligns with the market's leading 37°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus around that threshold. Historical July averages near 33°C provide baseline context, while the urban heat island effect in central Madrid can add 1–2°C locally. Short-range uncertainty remains due to potential minor shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover, with AEMET updates and final model runs expected to refine resolution criteria over the next 48 hours.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on July 20?
Highest temperature in Madrid on July 20?
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$77,343 Vol.
$77,343 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$77,343 Vol.
$77,343 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
32°C or below
$486 Vol.
No
33°C
$546 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,356 Vol.
No
35°C
$14,408 Vol.
No
36°C
$26,937 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$12,486 Vol.
No
38°C
$10,091 Vol.
No
39°C
$4,010 Vol.
No
40°C
$1,590 Vol.
No
41°C
$992 Vol.
No
42°C or higher
$442 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on July 20 will likely reach 36–38°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and subsidence warming. This aligns with the market's leading 37°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus around that threshold. Historical July averages near 33°C provide baseline context, while the urban heat island effect in central Madrid can add 1–2°C locally. Short-range uncertainty remains due to potential minor shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover, with AEMET updates and final model runs expected to refine resolution criteria over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$77,343শেষ তারিখ
Jul 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on July 20 will likely reach 36–38°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and subsidence warming. This aligns with the market's leading 37°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus around that threshold. Historical July averages near 33°C provide baseline context, while the urban heat island effect in central Madrid can add 1–2°C locally. Short-range uncertainty remains due to potential minor shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover, with AEMET updates and final model runs expected to refine resolution criteria over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$77,343শেষ তারিখ
Jul 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on July 20 will likely reach 36–38°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and subsidence warming. This aligns with the market's leading 37°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus around that threshold. Historical July averages near 33°C provide baseline context, while the urban heat island effect in central Madrid can add 1–2°C locally. Short-range uncertainty remains due to potential minor shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover, with AEMET updates and final model runs expected to refine resolution criteria over the next 48 hours.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা