Trader consensus centers on 29–31°C outcomes for Manila’s June 30 maximum, reflecting PAGASA short-range guidance of 25–33°C amid variable convective activity. The developing El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies near +1.7°C, favors reduced rainfall and elevated daytime heating relative to neutral baselines, while the southwest monsoon onset introduces cloud bursts that can suppress peaks by several degrees. Urban heat-island effects and humidity further modulate observed maxima, with model spread on timing of showers creating the tight clustering around 30°C. Updated PAGASA and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any sharp shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Manila on June 30?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 30?
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$153,670 Vol.
$153,670 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$153,670 Vol.
$153,670 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
26°C or below
$40,940 Vol.
No
27°C
$42,858 Vol.
No
28°C
$30,342 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,182 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$6,095 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,150 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,928 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,803 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,231 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,846 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$5,293 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 29–31°C outcomes for Manila’s June 30 maximum, reflecting PAGASA short-range guidance of 25–33°C amid variable convective activity. The developing El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies near +1.7°C, favors reduced rainfall and elevated daytime heating relative to neutral baselines, while the southwest monsoon onset introduces cloud bursts that can suppress peaks by several degrees. Urban heat-island effects and humidity further modulate observed maxima, with model spread on timing of showers creating the tight clustering around 30°C. Updated PAGASA and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any sharp shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$153,670শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 29–31°C outcomes for Manila’s June 30 maximum, reflecting PAGASA short-range guidance of 25–33°C amid variable convective activity. The developing El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies near +1.7°C, favors reduced rainfall and elevated daytime heating relative to neutral baselines, while the southwest monsoon onset introduces cloud bursts that can suppress peaks by several degrees. Urban heat-island effects and humidity further modulate observed maxima, with model spread on timing of showers creating the tight clustering around 30°C. Updated PAGASA and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any sharp shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$153,670শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus centers on 29–31°C outcomes for Manila’s June 30 maximum, reflecting PAGASA short-range guidance of 25–33°C amid variable convective activity. The developing El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies near +1.7°C, favors reduced rainfall and elevated daytime heating relative to neutral baselines, while the southwest monsoon onset introduces cloud bursts that can suppress peaks by several degrees. Urban heat-island effects and humidity further modulate observed maxima, with model spread on timing of showers creating the tight clustering around 30°C. Updated PAGASA and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any sharp shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা