Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on May 7 at Benito Juárez International Airport, backed by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting a maximum of 30–32°C under persistent high-pressure conditions during the late dry season. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover at the city's 2,240-meter elevation enable intense solar heating, with morning observations already climbing from 16°C toward afternoon peaks, consistent with May climatology where averages hover at 25–27°C but heat domes frequently exceed 30°C. Model consensus from SMN and international sources shows low precipitation risk before evening, solidifying positioning; realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers capping insolation, though probability remains below 5% per current guidance. Airport data updates through evening will confirm resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 7?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 7?
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$25,092 Vol.
$25,092 Vol.
May 7, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
Yes
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$25,092 Vol.
$25,092 Vol.
May 7, 2026
18°C or below
$3,353 Vol.
No
19°C
$510 Vol.
No
20°C
$485 Vol.
No
21°C
$510 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,407 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,312 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,051 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,210 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,357 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,594 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$3,302 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on May 7 at Benito Juárez International Airport, backed by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting a maximum of 30–32°C under persistent high-pressure conditions during the late dry season. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover at the city's 2,240-meter elevation enable intense solar heating, with morning observations already climbing from 16°C toward afternoon peaks, consistent with May climatology where averages hover at 25–27°C but heat domes frequently exceed 30°C. Model consensus from SMN and international sources shows low precipitation risk before evening, solidifying positioning; realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers capping insolation, though probability remains below 5% per current guidance. Airport data updates through evening will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 5, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
ভলিউম
$25,092শেষ তারিখ
May 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 5, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on May 7 at Benito Juárez International Airport, backed by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting a maximum of 30–32°C under persistent high-pressure conditions during the late dry season. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover at the city's 2,240-meter elevation enable intense solar heating, with morning observations already climbing from 16°C toward afternoon peaks, consistent with May climatology where averages hover at 25–27°C but heat domes frequently exceed 30°C. Model consensus from SMN and international sources shows low precipitation risk before evening, solidifying positioning; realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers capping insolation, though probability remains below 5% per current guidance. Airport data updates through evening will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$25,092শেষ তারিখ
May 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 5, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on May 7 at Benito Juárez International Airport, backed by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting a maximum of 30–32°C under persistent high-pressure conditions during the late dry season. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover at the city's 2,240-meter elevation enable intense solar heating, with morning observations already climbing from 16°C toward afternoon peaks, consistent with May climatology where averages hover at 25–27°C but heat domes frequently exceed 30°C. Model consensus from SMN and international sources shows low precipitation risk before evening, solidifying positioning; realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers capping insolation, though probability remains below 5% per current guidance. Airport data updates through evening will confirm resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা