Trader consensus in this Moscow July 11 temperature market centers on ensemble forecast spreads from ECMWF and GFS models, which currently indicate daily highs most likely between 23–26 °C amid a transitional airmass with moderate westerly flow. Recent model runs have shown modest tightening around 24–25 °C, reflecting limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and no strong warm advection. Historical July climatology places average highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with current implied probabilities for the tightly bunched leading outcomes. Uncertainty persists from potential variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and small steering shifts that could tip the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Roshydromet updates and final 48-hour model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on July 11?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 11?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$46,943 Vol.
$46,943 Vol.
Jul 11, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$46,943 Vol.
$46,943 Vol.
Jul 11, 2026
18°C or below
$388 Vol.
No
19°C
$977 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,207 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,421 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,583 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,808 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,154 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,339 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$5,870 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,351 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$4,845 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this Moscow July 11 temperature market centers on ensemble forecast spreads from ECMWF and GFS models, which currently indicate daily highs most likely between 23–26 °C amid a transitional airmass with moderate westerly flow. Recent model runs have shown modest tightening around 24–25 °C, reflecting limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and no strong warm advection. Historical July climatology places average highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with current implied probabilities for the tightly bunched leading outcomes. Uncertainty persists from potential variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and small steering shifts that could tip the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Roshydromet updates and final 48-hour model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$46,943শেষ তারিখ
Jul 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this Moscow July 11 temperature market centers on ensemble forecast spreads from ECMWF and GFS models, which currently indicate daily highs most likely between 23–26 °C amid a transitional airmass with moderate westerly flow. Recent model runs have shown modest tightening around 24–25 °C, reflecting limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and no strong warm advection. Historical July climatology places average highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with current implied probabilities for the tightly bunched leading outcomes. Uncertainty persists from potential variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and small steering shifts that could tip the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Roshydromet updates and final 48-hour model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$46,943শেষ তারিখ
Jul 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus in this Moscow July 11 temperature market centers on ensemble forecast spreads from ECMWF and GFS models, which currently indicate daily highs most likely between 23–26 °C amid a transitional airmass with moderate westerly flow. Recent model runs have shown modest tightening around 24–25 °C, reflecting limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and no strong warm advection. Historical July climatology places average highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns with current implied probabilities for the tightly bunched leading outcomes. Uncertainty persists from potential variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and small steering shifts that could tip the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Roshydromet updates and final 48-hour model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা