Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Moscow's July 22 high temperature will likely peak in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Primary drivers include a transitional high-pressure system over central Russia that limits strong advection of warmer air from the south while allowing partial cloud cover and moderate winds to moderate daytime heating. Model runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of a weak frontal passage, with historical July climatology for the region centering near 23–25°C. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could easily push the outcome across the narrow thresholds separating the leading probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on July 22?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 22?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$65,819 Vol.
$65,819 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$65,819 Vol.
$65,819 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
20°C or below
$1,809 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,783 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,201 Vol.
No
23°C
$35,093 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,940 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$5,416 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,157 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,681 Vol.
No
28°C
$882 Vol.
No
29°C
$625 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$233 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Moscow's July 22 high temperature will likely peak in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Primary drivers include a transitional high-pressure system over central Russia that limits strong advection of warmer air from the south while allowing partial cloud cover and moderate winds to moderate daytime heating. Model runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of a weak frontal passage, with historical July climatology for the region centering near 23–25°C. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could easily push the outcome across the narrow thresholds separating the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 20, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$65,819শেষ তারিখ
Jul 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 20, 2026, 1:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Moscow's July 22 high temperature will likely peak in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Primary drivers include a transitional high-pressure system over central Russia that limits strong advection of warmer air from the south while allowing partial cloud cover and moderate winds to moderate daytime heating. Model runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of a weak frontal passage, with historical July climatology for the region centering near 23–25°C. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could easily push the outcome across the narrow thresholds separating the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$65,819শেষ তারিখ
Jul 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 20, 2026, 1:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Moscow's July 22 high temperature will likely peak in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Primary drivers include a transitional high-pressure system over central Russia that limits strong advection of warmer air from the south while allowing partial cloud cover and moderate winds to moderate daytime heating. Model runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of a weak frontal passage, with historical July climatology for the region centering near 23–25°C. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could easily push the outcome across the narrow thresholds separating the leading probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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