Traders are pricing Moscow’s July 24 maximum temperature tightly around 21–23 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows modest day-to-day variability around the July climatological normal of roughly 23–24 °C. Current surface observations and 500-hPa heights indicate a weak ridge with limited warm advection, while scattered cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to cap afternoon highs. Model spread centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed clustering at 22 °C (32 %) and 23 °C (29.5 %). With resolution only two days away, updated model runs and local METAR trends will continue to drive small shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on July 24?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 24?
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$29,233 Vol.
$29,233 Vol.
Jul 24, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$29,233 Vol.
$29,233 Vol.
Jul 24, 2026
19°C or below
$3,130 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,589 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,181 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,666 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$4,137 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,954 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,902 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,148 Vol.
No
27°C
$329 Vol.
No
28°C
$440 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$758 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing Moscow’s July 24 maximum temperature tightly around 21–23 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows modest day-to-day variability around the July climatological normal of roughly 23–24 °C. Current surface observations and 500-hPa heights indicate a weak ridge with limited warm advection, while scattered cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to cap afternoon highs. Model spread centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed clustering at 22 °C (32 %) and 23 °C (29.5 %). With resolution only two days away, updated model runs and local METAR trends will continue to drive small shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$29,233শেষ তারিখ
Jul 24, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing Moscow’s July 24 maximum temperature tightly around 21–23 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows modest day-to-day variability around the July climatological normal of roughly 23–24 °C. Current surface observations and 500-hPa heights indicate a weak ridge with limited warm advection, while scattered cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to cap afternoon highs. Model spread centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed clustering at 22 °C (32 %) and 23 °C (29.5 %). With resolution only two days away, updated model runs and local METAR trends will continue to drive small shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$29,233শেষ তারিখ
Jul 24, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Traders are pricing Moscow’s July 24 maximum temperature tightly around 21–23 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows modest day-to-day variability around the July climatological normal of roughly 23–24 °C. Current surface observations and 500-hPa heights indicate a weak ridge with limited warm advection, while scattered cloud cover and light northerly flow are expected to cap afternoon highs. Model spread centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed clustering at 22 °C (32 %) and 23 °C (29.5 %). With resolution only two days away, updated model runs and local METAR trends will continue to drive small shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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