Traders assign the highest probabilities to 82–85°F highs for July 5 in New York City because official National Weather Service and model guidance show moderating temperatures after the July 4 peak heat wave. A weakening ridge and increasing moisture will support scattered showers and thunderstorms, limiting full insolation and capping afternoon maxima near 89°F with a 40% rain chance. Sea-breeze circulation off the Atlantic and partial cloud cover further suppress readings, while ensemble spreads keep the most likely outcomes clustered in the low-to-mid 80s. Higher bins above 88°F carry low odds given the expected convective cooling and timing of any frontal passage, consistent with current short-range forecast consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on July 5?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 5?
78-79°F 100%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$398,106 Vol.
$398,106 Vol.
Jul 5, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$398,106 Vol.
$398,106 Vol.
Jul 5, 2026
73°F or below
$5,932 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$3,100 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$138,459 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$50,560 Vol.
Yes
80-81°F
$42,601 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$45,200 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$42,217 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$24,949 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$18,486 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$10,420 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$16,184 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probabilities to 82–85°F highs for July 5 in New York City because official National Weather Service and model guidance show moderating temperatures after the July 4 peak heat wave. A weakening ridge and increasing moisture will support scattered showers and thunderstorms, limiting full insolation and capping afternoon maxima near 89°F with a 40% rain chance. Sea-breeze circulation off the Atlantic and partial cloud cover further suppress readings, while ensemble spreads keep the most likely outcomes clustered in the low-to-mid 80s. Higher bins above 88°F carry low odds given the expected convective cooling and timing of any frontal passage, consistent with current short-range forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ভলিউম
$398,106শেষ তারিখ
Jul 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probabilities to 82–85°F highs for July 5 in New York City because official National Weather Service and model guidance show moderating temperatures after the July 4 peak heat wave. A weakening ridge and increasing moisture will support scattered showers and thunderstorms, limiting full insolation and capping afternoon maxima near 89°F with a 40% rain chance. Sea-breeze circulation off the Atlantic and partial cloud cover further suppress readings, while ensemble spreads keep the most likely outcomes clustered in the low-to-mid 80s. Higher bins above 88°F carry low odds given the expected convective cooling and timing of any frontal passage, consistent with current short-range forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$398,106শেষ তারিখ
Jul 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Traders assign the highest probabilities to 82–85°F highs for July 5 in New York City because official National Weather Service and model guidance show moderating temperatures after the July 4 peak heat wave. A weakening ridge and increasing moisture will support scattered showers and thunderstorms, limiting full insolation and capping afternoon maxima near 89°F with a 40% rain chance. Sea-breeze circulation off the Atlantic and partial cloud cover further suppress readings, while ensemble spreads keep the most likely outcomes clustered in the low-to-mid 80s. Higher bins above 88°F carry low odds given the expected convective cooling and timing of any frontal passage, consistent with current short-range forecast consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা