Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C at virtually 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 1, driven by official hourly observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's resolution source—peaking at 28°C mid-afternoon under a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds fostering adiabatic warming. China Meteorological Administration models, including short-range GFS and ECMWF ensembles, converged on this maximum, reflecting clear skies and low cloud cover that maximized insolation while current evening cooling aligns with the diurnal cycle. This positions well above May climatological norms of around 20°C, amid an anomalous warm spell. Realistic challenges include a late-afternoon heat burst from unexpected subsidence before sunset, though post-peak readings and sinking temperatures render this improbable; final CMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 1?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 1?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,436 Vol.
$21,436 Vol.
May 1, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,436 Vol.
$21,436 Vol.
May 1, 2026
23°C or below
$1,903 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,885 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,337 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,758 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,941 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,333 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$1,359 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,915 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,631 Vol.
No
32°C
$506 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$867 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C at virtually 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 1, driven by official hourly observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's resolution source—peaking at 28°C mid-afternoon under a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds fostering adiabatic warming. China Meteorological Administration models, including short-range GFS and ECMWF ensembles, converged on this maximum, reflecting clear skies and low cloud cover that maximized insolation while current evening cooling aligns with the diurnal cycle. This positions well above May climatological norms of around 20°C, amid an anomalous warm spell. Realistic challenges include a late-afternoon heat burst from unexpected subsidence before sunset, though post-peak readings and sinking temperatures render this improbable; final CMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 29, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$21,436শেষ তারিখ
May 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 29, 2026, 12:09 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C at virtually 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 1, driven by official hourly observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's resolution source—peaking at 28°C mid-afternoon under a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds fostering adiabatic warming. China Meteorological Administration models, including short-range GFS and ECMWF ensembles, converged on this maximum, reflecting clear skies and low cloud cover that maximized insolation while current evening cooling aligns with the diurnal cycle. This positions well above May climatological norms of around 20°C, amid an anomalous warm spell. Realistic challenges include a late-afternoon heat burst from unexpected subsidence before sunset, though post-peak readings and sinking temperatures render this improbable; final CMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$21,436শেষ তারিখ
May 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 29, 2026, 12:09 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C at virtually 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 1, driven by official hourly observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's resolution source—peaking at 28°C mid-afternoon under a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds fostering adiabatic warming. China Meteorological Administration models, including short-range GFS and ECMWF ensembles, converged on this maximum, reflecting clear skies and low cloud cover that maximized insolation while current evening cooling aligns with the diurnal cycle. This positions well above May climatological norms of around 20°C, amid an anomalous warm spell. Realistic challenges include a late-afternoon heat burst from unexpected subsidence before sunset, though post-peak readings and sinking temperatures render this improbable; final CMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা