Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at virtually 100% implied probability for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 3, backed by official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations showing peaks around 19.5°C amid pervasive cloud cover and light showers from a passing cold front. This system suppressed solar heating and daytime warming, with hourly data from Congonhas Airport (SBSP) and urban stations aligning below 20°C despite typical May highs averaging 23–25°C. The market's positioning reflects verified measurements up to 15h local time, with final daily summaries expected soon. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc revision from INMET reanalysis or dispute over the reference station could shift it, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 1°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 3?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 3?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$56,289 Vol.
$56,289 Vol.
May 3, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$56,289 Vol.
$56,289 Vol.
May 3, 2026
14°C or below
$2,232 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,233 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,412 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,195 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,513 Vol.
No
19°C
$12,144 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$7,599 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,287 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,411 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,059 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$7,204 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at virtually 100% implied probability for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 3, backed by official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations showing peaks around 19.5°C amid pervasive cloud cover and light showers from a passing cold front. This system suppressed solar heating and daytime warming, with hourly data from Congonhas Airport (SBSP) and urban stations aligning below 20°C despite typical May highs averaging 23–25°C. The market's positioning reflects verified measurements up to 15h local time, with final daily summaries expected soon. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc revision from INMET reanalysis or dispute over the reference station could shift it, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 1, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
ভলিউম
$56,289শেষ তারিখ
May 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 1, 2026, 12:19 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at virtually 100% implied probability for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 3, backed by official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations showing peaks around 19.5°C amid pervasive cloud cover and light showers from a passing cold front. This system suppressed solar heating and daytime warming, with hourly data from Congonhas Airport (SBSP) and urban stations aligning below 20°C despite typical May highs averaging 23–25°C. The market's positioning reflects verified measurements up to 15h local time, with final daily summaries expected soon. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc revision from INMET reanalysis or dispute over the reference station could shift it, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$56,289শেষ তারিখ
May 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 1, 2026, 12:19 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at virtually 100% implied probability for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 3, backed by official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations showing peaks around 19.5°C amid pervasive cloud cover and light showers from a passing cold front. This system suppressed solar heating and daytime warming, with hourly data from Congonhas Airport (SBSP) and urban stations aligning below 20°C despite typical May highs averaging 23–25°C. The market's positioning reflects verified measurements up to 15h local time, with final daily summaries expected soon. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc revision from INMET reanalysis or dispute over the reference station could shift it, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 1°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা