Recent KMA forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C for Incheon on August 25 under mostly cloudy skies with only a 20% precipitation chance, consistent with late-summer patterns where daytime heating peaks amid high humidity. Trader consensus clusters around 29–31°C because ensemble models show variable cloud cover and possible weak frontal influences that could limit peak temperatures below the official guidance. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the subtropical high, afternoon mixing depth, and any late-day sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea, which historically cap extremes near 30°C in the Seoul metro area. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive further market movement as resolution approaches.