Weather forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show the highest temperature in Shanghai on August 6 centered near 33–34°C, with tight clustering that explains the near-even market-implied odds between those outcomes. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the subtropical ridge steering moist southerly flow, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical early-August climatology places Shanghai highs around 32–34°C, providing context for why lower or higher extremes remain low-probability in trader assessments. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
33°C 42%
34°C 38%
32°C 12%
35°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
12%
33°C
42%
34°C
38%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
34°C 38%
32°C 12%
35°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$130 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$515 Vol.
4%
31°C
$333 Vol.
7%
32°C
$243 Vol.
12%
33°C
$295 Vol.
42%
34°C
$827 Vol.
38%
35°C
$212 Vol.
7%
36°C
$278 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$139 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show the highest temperature in Shanghai on August 6 centered near 33–34°C, with tight clustering that explains the near-even market-implied odds between those outcomes. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the subtropical ridge steering moist southerly flow, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical early-August climatology places Shanghai highs around 32–34°C, providing context for why lower or higher extremes remain low-probability in trader assessments. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$3,254শেষ তারিখ
Aug 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show the highest temperature in Shanghai on August 6 centered near 33–34°C, with tight clustering that explains the near-even market-implied odds between those outcomes. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the subtropical ridge steering moist southerly flow, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical early-August climatology places Shanghai highs around 32–34°C, providing context for why lower or higher extremes remain low-probability in trader assessments. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$3,254শেষ তারিখ
Aug 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weather forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show the highest temperature in Shanghai on August 6 centered near 33–34°C, with tight clustering that explains the near-even market-implied odds between those outcomes. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the subtropical ridge steering moist southerly flow, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical early-August climatology places Shanghai highs around 32–34°C, providing context for why lower or higher extremes remain low-probability in trader assessments. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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