Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to a 24°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster peaks at 23-24°C amid light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology averaging 22-24°C daytime highs. Preliminary observations from Israel Meteorological Service stations, including Tel Aviv Coast, support this positioning, showing midday readings approaching 24°C despite the agency's conservative 20°C cap accounting for coastal moderation. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 25°C under clearer skies or a downward measurement revision, though model divergence is minimal with resolution imminent via official IMS daily maximum at the designated station.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 19?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 19?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$60,306 Vol.
$60,306 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$60,306 Vol.
$60,306 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
16°C or below
$2,552 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,156 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,157 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,099 Vol.
No
20°C
$6,968 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,966 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,341 Vol.
No
23°C
$7,645 Vol.
No
24°C
$10,596 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$4,660 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$6,167 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to a 24°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster peaks at 23-24°C amid light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology averaging 22-24°C daytime highs. Preliminary observations from Israel Meteorological Service stations, including Tel Aviv Coast, support this positioning, showing midday readings approaching 24°C despite the agency's conservative 20°C cap accounting for coastal moderation. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 25°C under clearer skies or a downward measurement revision, though model divergence is minimal with resolution imminent via official IMS daily maximum at the designated station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ভলিউম
$60,306শেষ তারিখ
Apr 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to a 24°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster peaks at 23-24°C amid light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology averaging 22-24°C daytime highs. Preliminary observations from Israel Meteorological Service stations, including Tel Aviv Coast, support this positioning, showing midday readings approaching 24°C despite the agency's conservative 20°C cap accounting for coastal moderation. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 25°C under clearer skies or a downward measurement revision, though model divergence is minimal with resolution imminent via official IMS daily maximum at the designated station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$60,306শেষ তারিখ
Apr 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to a 24°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster peaks at 23-24°C amid light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology averaging 22-24°C daytime highs. Preliminary observations from Israel Meteorological Service stations, including Tel Aviv Coast, support this positioning, showing midday readings approaching 24°C despite the agency's conservative 20°C cap accounting for coastal moderation. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 25°C under clearer skies or a downward measurement revision, though model divergence is minimal with resolution imminent via official IMS daily maximum at the designated station.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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