Recent forecasts from models and the Israel Meteorological Service indicate Tel Aviv highs near 31–33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow, with sea breezes from the Mediterranean moderating afternoon peaks. Minor differences in ensemble guidance center on the strength of daytime heating versus onshore wind timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima around 31°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 31–35°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty in peak temperature.