The closely matched probabilities for 33°C and 34°C as Tokyo’s July 20 high reflect short-range forecast uncertainty in the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble guidance, with typical midsummer Pacific high pressure supporting mid-30s readings but variable sea-breeze timing and cloud cover able to trim peaks by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and low-level humidity further modulate daily maxima, while recent model runs show modest spread in 850-hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July averages near 31–32°C provide context, yet the market assigns meaningful weight to 32°C and 35°C outcomes because small shifts in steering flow or timing of any frontal passage could alter the peak by one degree either way before the 20th.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 20?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 20?
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$63,993 Vol.
$63,993 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$63,993 Vol.
$63,993 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
27°C or below
$440 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,032 Vol.
No
29°C
$865 Vol.
No
30°C
$883 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,934 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,373 Vol.
No
33°C
$10,140 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,011 Vol.
No
35°C
$11,408 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$10,713 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$9,194 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities for 33°C and 34°C as Tokyo’s July 20 high reflect short-range forecast uncertainty in the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble guidance, with typical midsummer Pacific high pressure supporting mid-30s readings but variable sea-breeze timing and cloud cover able to trim peaks by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and low-level humidity further modulate daily maxima, while recent model runs show modest spread in 850-hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July averages near 31–32°C provide context, yet the market assigns meaningful weight to 32°C and 35°C outcomes because small shifts in steering flow or timing of any frontal passage could alter the peak by one degree either way before the 20th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$63,993শেষ তারিখ
Jul 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities for 33°C and 34°C as Tokyo’s July 20 high reflect short-range forecast uncertainty in the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble guidance, with typical midsummer Pacific high pressure supporting mid-30s readings but variable sea-breeze timing and cloud cover able to trim peaks by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and low-level humidity further modulate daily maxima, while recent model runs show modest spread in 850-hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July averages near 31–32°C provide context, yet the market assigns meaningful weight to 32°C and 35°C outcomes because small shifts in steering flow or timing of any frontal passage could alter the peak by one degree either way before the 20th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$63,993শেষ তারিখ
Jul 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
The closely matched probabilities for 33°C and 34°C as Tokyo’s July 20 high reflect short-range forecast uncertainty in the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble guidance, with typical midsummer Pacific high pressure supporting mid-30s readings but variable sea-breeze timing and cloud cover able to trim peaks by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects and low-level humidity further modulate daily maxima, while recent model runs show modest spread in 850-hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July averages near 31–32°C provide context, yet the market assigns meaningful weight to 32°C and 35°C outcomes because small shifts in steering flow or timing of any frontal passage could alter the peak by one degree either way before the 20th.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা