Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-total certainty (100% implied probability) for a 22°C high temperature at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on May 5, 2026, anchored by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) 17:00 forecast and hourly observations confirming a midday peak of 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This positioning stems from a stable Pacific high-pressure ridge delivering mild early-May conditions—climatologically averaging 22–23°C highs—but with broken cloud cover limiting solar insolation and preventing further warming, as temperatures cool to 21°C by late afternoon. Realistic challenges include sudden sky clearing for late-day heating to 22.5°C (rounding to 23°C per whole-degree resolution via Wunderground data), though current trends and model consensus make this unlikely ahead of final JMA observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 5?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 5?
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$120,151 Vol.
$120,151 Vol.
May 5, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$120,151 Vol.
$120,151 Vol.
May 5, 2026
13°C or below
$688 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,234 Vol.
No
15°C
$667 Vol.
No
16°C
$461 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,700 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,941 Vol.
No
19°C
$12,138 Vol.
No
20°C
$7,795 Vol.
No
21°C
$30,282 Vol.
No
22°C
$24,370 Vol.
Yes
23°C or higher
$35,875 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-total certainty (100% implied probability) for a 22°C high temperature at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on May 5, 2026, anchored by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) 17:00 forecast and hourly observations confirming a midday peak of 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This positioning stems from a stable Pacific high-pressure ridge delivering mild early-May conditions—climatologically averaging 22–23°C highs—but with broken cloud cover limiting solar insolation and preventing further warming, as temperatures cool to 21°C by late afternoon. Realistic challenges include sudden sky clearing for late-day heating to 22.5°C (rounding to 23°C per whole-degree resolution via Wunderground data), though current trends and model consensus make this unlikely ahead of final JMA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ভলিউম
$120,151শেষ তারিখ
May 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-total certainty (100% implied probability) for a 22°C high temperature at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on May 5, 2026, anchored by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) 17:00 forecast and hourly observations confirming a midday peak of 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This positioning stems from a stable Pacific high-pressure ridge delivering mild early-May conditions—climatologically averaging 22–23°C highs—but with broken cloud cover limiting solar insolation and preventing further warming, as temperatures cool to 21°C by late afternoon. Realistic challenges include sudden sky clearing for late-day heating to 22.5°C (rounding to 23°C per whole-degree resolution via Wunderground data), though current trends and model consensus make this unlikely ahead of final JMA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$120,151শেষ তারিখ
May 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-total certainty (100% implied probability) for a 22°C high temperature at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on May 5, 2026, anchored by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) 17:00 forecast and hourly observations confirming a midday peak of 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This positioning stems from a stable Pacific high-pressure ridge delivering mild early-May conditions—climatologically averaging 22–23°C highs—but with broken cloud cover limiting solar insolation and preventing further warming, as temperatures cool to 21°C by late afternoon. Realistic challenges include sudden sky clearing for late-day heating to 22.5°C (rounding to 23°C per whole-degree resolution via Wunderground data), though current trends and model consensus make this unlikely ahead of final JMA observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা