Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature at Warsaw Chopin Airport on April 28, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by IMGW and ECMWF ensemble forecast models converging on this peak amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool Arctic air masses. Morning observations registered 8°C under partly cloudy skies following overnight ground frost warnings (down to -8°C), while mid-afternoon readings hovered around 9-10°C with limited solar insolation due to variable cloud cover—well below April climatological averages of 13°C. This positioning reflects strong alignment between official observational data from the airport station (resolution source via Wunderground) and model guidance capping daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling a brief 1°C surge via enhanced insolation, though persistent cool advection and overcast conditions render higher outcomes improbable; final IMGW hourly updates through evening will confirm the daily maximum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 28?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 28?
11°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$39,101 Vol.
$39,101 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$39,101 Vol.
$39,101 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
7°C or below
$853 Vol.
No
8°C
$1,833 Vol.
No
9°C
$5,072 Vol.
No
10°C
$3,834 Vol.
No
11°C
$5,754 Vol.
Yes
12°C
$8,481 Vol.
No
13°C
$4,930 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,260 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,667 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,656 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$1,761 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature at Warsaw Chopin Airport on April 28, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by IMGW and ECMWF ensemble forecast models converging on this peak amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool Arctic air masses. Morning observations registered 8°C under partly cloudy skies following overnight ground frost warnings (down to -8°C), while mid-afternoon readings hovered around 9-10°C with limited solar insolation due to variable cloud cover—well below April climatological averages of 13°C. This positioning reflects strong alignment between official observational data from the airport station (resolution source via Wunderground) and model guidance capping daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling a brief 1°C surge via enhanced insolation, though persistent cool advection and overcast conditions render higher outcomes improbable; final IMGW hourly updates through evening will confirm the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
ভলিউম
$39,101শেষ তারিখ
Apr 28, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature at Warsaw Chopin Airport on April 28, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by IMGW and ECMWF ensemble forecast models converging on this peak amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool Arctic air masses. Morning observations registered 8°C under partly cloudy skies following overnight ground frost warnings (down to -8°C), while mid-afternoon readings hovered around 9-10°C with limited solar insolation due to variable cloud cover—well below April climatological averages of 13°C. This positioning reflects strong alignment between official observational data from the airport station (resolution source via Wunderground) and model guidance capping daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling a brief 1°C surge via enhanced insolation, though persistent cool advection and overcast conditions render higher outcomes improbable; final IMGW hourly updates through evening will confirm the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$39,101শেষ তারিখ
Apr 28, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature at Warsaw Chopin Airport on April 28, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by IMGW and ECMWF ensemble forecast models converging on this peak amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool Arctic air masses. Morning observations registered 8°C under partly cloudy skies following overnight ground frost warnings (down to -8°C), while mid-afternoon readings hovered around 9-10°C with limited solar insolation due to variable cloud cover—well below April climatological averages of 13°C. This positioning reflects strong alignment between official observational data from the airport station (resolution source via Wunderground) and model guidance capping daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling a brief 1°C surge via enhanced insolation, though persistent cool advection and overcast conditions render higher outcomes improbable; final IMGW hourly updates through evening will confirm the daily maximum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা