Wellington's mid-winter maximum temperatures on July 24 are shaped primarily by transient high-pressure ridges and southerly flow patterns typical of New Zealand's winter, with NIWA's seasonal outlook indicating near-average conditions (around 12°C mean high) and limited warm advection expected. Current model consensus and extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project daily highs between 10–14°C, positioning 13–14°C as the most probable range given recent stable atmospheric setups and minimal frontal activity in the Tasman Sea. Trader sentiment reflected in the market-implied odds favors these outcomes because they align closely with climatological baselines and short-range ensemble guidance, while lower probabilities for 15°C or above reflect the low likelihood of significant warming anomalies this far south in July. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on July 24?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 24?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$107,457 Vol.
$107,457 Vol.
Jul 24, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$107,457 Vol.
$107,457 Vol.
Jul 24, 2026
8°C or below
$371 Vol.
No
9°C
$371 Vol.
No
10°C
$2,349 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,231 Vol.
No
12°C
$26,007 Vol.
No
13°C
$20,812 Vol.
No
14°C
$20,955 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$19,405 Vol.
No
16°C
$9,599 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,854 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$1,503 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's mid-winter maximum temperatures on July 24 are shaped primarily by transient high-pressure ridges and southerly flow patterns typical of New Zealand's winter, with NIWA's seasonal outlook indicating near-average conditions (around 12°C mean high) and limited warm advection expected. Current model consensus and extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project daily highs between 10–14°C, positioning 13–14°C as the most probable range given recent stable atmospheric setups and minimal frontal activity in the Tasman Sea. Trader sentiment reflected in the market-implied odds favors these outcomes because they align closely with climatological baselines and short-range ensemble guidance, while lower probabilities for 15°C or above reflect the low likelihood of significant warming anomalies this far south in July. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ভলিউম
$107,457শেষ তারিখ
Jul 24, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's mid-winter maximum temperatures on July 24 are shaped primarily by transient high-pressure ridges and southerly flow patterns typical of New Zealand's winter, with NIWA's seasonal outlook indicating near-average conditions (around 12°C mean high) and limited warm advection expected. Current model consensus and extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project daily highs between 10–14°C, positioning 13–14°C as the most probable range given recent stable atmospheric setups and minimal frontal activity in the Tasman Sea. Trader sentiment reflected in the market-implied odds favors these outcomes because they align closely with climatological baselines and short-range ensemble guidance, while lower probabilities for 15°C or above reflect the low likelihood of significant warming anomalies this far south in July. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$107,457শেষ তারিখ
Jul 24, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Wellington's mid-winter maximum temperatures on July 24 are shaped primarily by transient high-pressure ridges and southerly flow patterns typical of New Zealand's winter, with NIWA's seasonal outlook indicating near-average conditions (around 12°C mean high) and limited warm advection expected. Current model consensus and extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project daily highs between 10–14°C, positioning 13–14°C as the most probable range given recent stable atmospheric setups and minimal frontal activity in the Tasman Sea. Trader sentiment reflected in the market-implied odds favors these outcomes because they align closely with climatological baselines and short-range ensemble guidance, while lower probabilities for 15°C or above reflect the low likelihood of significant warming anomalies this far south in July. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা