**Traders are pricing 14°C as the most likely daily maximum for Wellington on July 5, reflecting short-term model consensus for a milder mid-winter day amid near-average seasonal conditions.** July climatology for the region centers on highs of 11–13°C, with NIWA’s May–July outlook assigning roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures. Recent MetService and Met Office guidance points to daytime peaks reaching 13–14°C under northerly flow, consistent with the market’s 45.5% implied probability for 14°C and secondary support for 15°C. Key variables include the strength and persistence of northerly winds versus any cooler easterly shift, plus cloud cover that could limit daytime warming. Updated official forecasts and MetService briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on July 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 5?
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$87,228 Vol.
$87,228 Vol.
Jul 5, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$87,228 Vol.
$87,228 Vol.
Jul 5, 2026
9°C or below
$5,465 Vol.
No
10°C
$4,130 Vol.
No
11°C
$2,729 Vol.
No
12°C
$9,004 Vol.
No
13°C
$18,822 Vol.
No
14°C
$20,220 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$13,802 Vol.
No
16°C
$5,655 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,644 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,979 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$1,779 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders are pricing 14°C as the most likely daily maximum for Wellington on July 5, reflecting short-term model consensus for a milder mid-winter day amid near-average seasonal conditions.** July climatology for the region centers on highs of 11–13°C, with NIWA’s May–July outlook assigning roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures. Recent MetService and Met Office guidance points to daytime peaks reaching 13–14°C under northerly flow, consistent with the market’s 45.5% implied probability for 14°C and secondary support for 15°C. Key variables include the strength and persistence of northerly winds versus any cooler easterly shift, plus cloud cover that could limit daytime warming. Updated official forecasts and MetService briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ভলিউম
$87,228শেষ তারিখ
Jul 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders are pricing 14°C as the most likely daily maximum for Wellington on July 5, reflecting short-term model consensus for a milder mid-winter day amid near-average seasonal conditions.** July climatology for the region centers on highs of 11–13°C, with NIWA’s May–July outlook assigning roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures. Recent MetService and Met Office guidance points to daytime peaks reaching 13–14°C under northerly flow, consistent with the market’s 45.5% implied probability for 14°C and secondary support for 15°C. Key variables include the strength and persistence of northerly winds versus any cooler easterly shift, plus cloud cover that could limit daytime warming. Updated official forecasts and MetService briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$87,228শেষ তারিখ
Jul 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
**Traders are pricing 14°C as the most likely daily maximum for Wellington on July 5, reflecting short-term model consensus for a milder mid-winter day amid near-average seasonal conditions.** July climatology for the region centers on highs of 11–13°C, with NIWA’s May–July outlook assigning roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures. Recent MetService and Met Office guidance points to daytime peaks reaching 13–14°C under northerly flow, consistent with the market’s 45.5% implied probability for 14°C and secondary support for 15°C. Key variables include the strength and persistence of northerly winds versus any cooler easterly shift, plus cloud cover that could limit daytime warming. Updated official forecasts and MetService briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা