Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 19°C high temperature at Wellington International Airport on May 10, 2026, driven by real-time MetService observations showing peak readings of 19°C during midday under partly cloudy skies and lingering effects of strong northerlies that advected warmer air southward. MetService's latest afternoon forecast confirms this positioning with an 18–19°C range for the Wellington region, aligning with model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction outputs that factored in post-shower clearing and reduced cloud cover. This exceeds May climatological averages of 15°C due to the frontal passage's warm sector. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 20°C before evening southerlies and showers dominate, though official hourly data through 4 p.m. already locks in the maximum. Final airport readings expected by midnight.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on May 10?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 10?
19°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$209,322 Vol.
$209,322 Vol.
May 10, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$209,322 Vol.
$209,322 Vol.
May 10, 2026
10°C or below
$4,622 Vol.
No
11°C
$2,397 Vol.
No
12°C
$6,464 Vol.
No
13°C
$3,781 Vol.
No
14°C
$5,601 Vol.
No
15°C
$6,435 Vol.
No
16°C
$22,117 Vol.
No
17°C
$26,277 Vol.
No
18°C
$81,840 Vol.
No
19°C
$20,680 Vol.
Yes
20°C or higher
$29,107 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 19°C high temperature at Wellington International Airport on May 10, 2026, driven by real-time MetService observations showing peak readings of 19°C during midday under partly cloudy skies and lingering effects of strong northerlies that advected warmer air southward. MetService's latest afternoon forecast confirms this positioning with an 18–19°C range for the Wellington region, aligning with model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction outputs that factored in post-shower clearing and reduced cloud cover. This exceeds May climatological averages of 15°C due to the frontal passage's warm sector. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 20°C before evening southerlies and showers dominate, though official hourly data through 4 p.m. already locks in the maximum. Final airport readings expected by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ভলিউম
$209,322শেষ তারিখ
May 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 19°C high temperature at Wellington International Airport on May 10, 2026, driven by real-time MetService observations showing peak readings of 19°C during midday under partly cloudy skies and lingering effects of strong northerlies that advected warmer air southward. MetService's latest afternoon forecast confirms this positioning with an 18–19°C range for the Wellington region, aligning with model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction outputs that factored in post-shower clearing and reduced cloud cover. This exceeds May climatological averages of 15°C due to the frontal passage's warm sector. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 20°C before evening southerlies and showers dominate, though official hourly data through 4 p.m. already locks in the maximum. Final airport readings expected by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$209,322শেষ তারিখ
May 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 19°C high temperature at Wellington International Airport on May 10, 2026, driven by real-time MetService observations showing peak readings of 19°C during midday under partly cloudy skies and lingering effects of strong northerlies that advected warmer air southward. MetService's latest afternoon forecast confirms this positioning with an 18–19°C range for the Wellington region, aligning with model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction outputs that factored in post-shower clearing and reduced cloud cover. This exceeds May climatological averages of 15°C due to the frontal passage's warm sector. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 20°C before evening southerlies and showers dominate, though official hourly data through 4 p.m. already locks in the maximum. Final airport readings expected by midnight.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা