A U.S.-brokered 10-day cessation of hostilities between Israel and Lebanon took effect on April 16, 2026, halting airstrikes and rocket fire amid the ongoing war with Iran-backed Hezbollah that resumed in early March after a prior truce unraveled. The agreement, announced by President Trump and excluding Hezbollah as a direct party, aims to facilitate direct Israel-Lebanon talks—the first since 1993—focusing on Hezbollah disarmament, Israeli troop withdrawals from southern Lebanon, and long-term security arrangements. While holding so far with civilians returning home, minor violations have been reported, and extension beyond April 26 depends on negotiation progress in the coming days, amid U.S.-Iran diplomacy that could influence escalation risks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডইজরায়েল এক্স হিজবুল্লাহ যুদ্ধবিরতি...?
ইজরায়েল এক্স হিজবুল্লাহ যুদ্ধবিরতি...?
$61,850,924 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
১৮ এপ্রিল
100%
$61,850,924 Vol.
১৮ এপ্রিল
$47,895,048 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.A U.S.-brokered 10-day cessation of hostilities between Israel and Lebanon took effect on April 16, 2026, halting airstrikes and rocket fire amid the ongoing war with Iran-backed Hezbollah that resumed in early March after a prior truce unraveled. The agreement, announced by President Trump and excluding Hezbollah as a direct party, aims to facilitate direct Israel-Lebanon talks—the first since 1993—focusing on Hezbollah disarmament, Israeli troop withdrawals from southern Lebanon, and long-term security arrangements. While holding so far with civilians returning home, minor violations have been reported, and extension beyond April 26 depends on negotiation progress in the coming days, amid U.S.-Iran diplomacy that could influence escalation risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
ভলিউম
$61,850,924শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: হ্যাঁ
ডিসপিউটেড
ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: হ্যাঁ
ডিসপিউটেড
চূড়ান্ত রিভিউ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.A U.S.-brokered 10-day cessation of hostilities between Israel and Lebanon took effect on April 16, 2026, halting airstrikes and rocket fire amid the ongoing war with Iran-backed Hezbollah that resumed in early March after a prior truce unraveled. The agreement, announced by President Trump and excluding Hezbollah as a direct party, aims to facilitate direct Israel-Lebanon talks—the first since 1993—focusing on Hezbollah disarmament, Israeli troop withdrawals from southern Lebanon, and long-term security arrangements. While holding so far with civilians returning home, minor violations have been reported, and extension beyond April 26 depends on negotiation progress in the coming days, amid U.S.-Iran diplomacy that could influence escalation risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
ভলিউম
$61,850,924শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: হ্যাঁ
ডিসপিউটেড
ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: হ্যাঁ
ডিসপিউটেড
চূড়ান্ত রিভিউ
A U.S.-brokered 10-day cessation of hostilities between Israel and Lebanon took effect on April 16, 2026, halting airstrikes and rocket fire amid the ongoing war with Iran-backed Hezbollah that resumed in early March after a prior truce unraveled. The agreement, announced by President Trump and excluding Hezbollah as a direct party, aims to facilitate direct Israel-Lebanon talks—the first since 1993—focusing on Hezbollah disarmament, Israeli troop withdrawals from southern Lebanon, and long-term security arrangements. While holding so far with civilians returning home, minor violations have been reported, and extension beyond April 26 depends on negotiation progress in the coming days, amid U.S.-Iran diplomacy that could influence escalation risks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা