A fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefire, brokered by Pakistan on April 7 and set for extension talks in Islamabad as of April 17, anchors trader consensus at 76.5% against a full-scale U.S. ground invasion before 2027. President Trump's April 16 remark that the conflict "should be ending pretty soon," coupled with Defense Secretary Hegseth's briefing on conditional airstrikes targeting Iran's energy infrastructure rather than troop commitments, signals de-escalation amid prior missile exchanges and Strait of Hormuz blockade. Congress rejected war powers limits this week, granting executive leeway, yet negotiations and a pivot to economic sanctions have pulled odds down from mid-April peaks near 57%, with no announced invasion plans despite regional military buildup.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডমার্কিন যুক্তরাষ্ট্র কি ২০২৭ সালের আগে ইরান আক্রমণ করবে?
মার্কিন যুক্তরাষ্ট্র কি ২০২৭ সালের আগে ইরান আক্রমণ করবে?
হ্যাঁ
$11,924,943 Vol.
$11,924,943 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$11,924,943 Vol.
$11,924,943 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.A fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefire, brokered by Pakistan on April 7 and set for extension talks in Islamabad as of April 17, anchors trader consensus at 76.5% against a full-scale U.S. ground invasion before 2027. President Trump's April 16 remark that the conflict "should be ending pretty soon," coupled with Defense Secretary Hegseth's briefing on conditional airstrikes targeting Iran's energy infrastructure rather than troop commitments, signals de-escalation amid prior missile exchanges and Strait of Hormuz blockade. Congress rejected war powers limits this week, granting executive leeway, yet negotiations and a pivot to economic sanctions have pulled odds down from mid-April peaks near 57%, with no announced invasion plans despite regional military buildup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ET
ভলিউম
$11,924,943শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.A fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefire, brokered by Pakistan on April 7 and set for extension talks in Islamabad as of April 17, anchors trader consensus at 76.5% against a full-scale U.S. ground invasion before 2027. President Trump's April 16 remark that the conflict "should be ending pretty soon," coupled with Defense Secretary Hegseth's briefing on conditional airstrikes targeting Iran's energy infrastructure rather than troop commitments, signals de-escalation amid prior missile exchanges and Strait of Hormuz blockade. Congress rejected war powers limits this week, granting executive leeway, yet negotiations and a pivot to economic sanctions have pulled odds down from mid-April peaks near 57%, with no announced invasion plans despite regional military buildup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ভলিউম
$11,924,943শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefire, brokered by Pakistan on April 7 and set for extension talks in Islamabad as of April 17, anchors trader consensus at 76.5% against a full-scale U.S. ground invasion before 2027. President Trump's April 16 remark that the conflict "should be ending pretty soon," coupled with Defense Secretary Hegseth's briefing on conditional airstrikes targeting Iran's energy infrastructure rather than troop commitments, signals de-escalation amid prior missile exchanges and Strait of Hormuz blockade. Congress rejected war powers limits this week, granting executive leeway, yet negotiations and a pivot to economic sanctions have pulled odds down from mid-April peaks near 57%, with no announced invasion plans despite regional military buildup.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা