Moonshot AI continues to build anticipation for Kimi K3, its next flagship large language model, without an official release as of mid-April 2026, driving trader caution in time-sensitive markets despite rapid iteration on prior versions. Following the January launch of open-weight Kimi K2.5—excelling in agent swarms and visual coding benchmarks—and recent API rollout of K2.6-code-preview, the firm raised $500 million in Series C funding explicitly for K3 development and compute scaling. Unverified rumors on X point to a May-June debut with 2T parameters and 10x gains over K2.5, amid fierce competition from DeepSeek V4 and Qwen 4; traders should monitor Moonshot's channels for announcements or developer previews that could shift implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডApril 30
9%
June 30
53%
$6,282 Vol.
April 30
9%
June 30
53%
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI continues to build anticipation for Kimi K3, its next flagship large language model, without an official release as of mid-April 2026, driving trader caution in time-sensitive markets despite rapid iteration on prior versions. Following the January launch of open-weight Kimi K2.5—excelling in agent swarms and visual coding benchmarks—and recent API rollout of K2.6-code-preview, the firm raised $500 million in Series C funding explicitly for K3 development and compute scaling. Unverified rumors on X point to a May-June debut with 2T parameters and 10x gains over K2.5, amid fierce competition from DeepSeek V4 and Qwen 4; traders should monitor Moonshot's channels for announcements or developer previews that could shift implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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