OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and August 19 comments from CFO Sara Friar—stating the company “will be a public company in 2027” or sooner if revenue inflects—anchor trader expectations for an IPO near term. Enterprise revenue already exceeds 40% of total and is projected to reach parity with consumer by year-end, supporting the 41.9% implied probability on a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. The latest March 2026 funding round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation following a $122 billion raise, establishing a base that positions 1–1.5 trillion bands (39.5% combined) as plausible outcomes. Persistent unprofitability and infrastructure costs create the residual 14.1% chance of no IPO by end-2027, while revenue momentum and AI-sector multiples sustain upside skew in current pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+ 41.9%
1T–1.25T 20.0%
1.25T–1.5T 20%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14.1%
$115,416 Vol.
$115,416 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
<500B
<1%
500–750B
1%
750B–1T
8%
1T–1.25T
20%
1.25T–1.5T
20%
1.5T+
42%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.5T+ 41.9%
1T–1.25T 20.0%
1.25T–1.5T 20%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14.1%
$115,416 Vol.
$115,416 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
<500B
$8,567 Vol.
<1%
500–750B
$10,506 Vol.
1%
750B–1T
$12,229 Vol.
8%
1T–1.25T
$17,649 Vol.
20%
1.25T–1.5T
$10,900 Vol.
20%
1.5T+
$30,356 Vol.
42%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$25,210 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and August 19 comments from CFO Sara Friar—stating the company “will be a public company in 2027” or sooner if revenue inflects—anchor trader expectations for an IPO near term. Enterprise revenue already exceeds 40% of total and is projected to reach parity with consumer by year-end, supporting the 41.9% implied probability on a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. The latest March 2026 funding round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation following a $122 billion raise, establishing a base that positions 1–1.5 trillion bands (39.5% combined) as plausible outcomes. Persistent unprofitability and infrastructure costs create the residual 14.1% chance of no IPO by end-2027, while revenue momentum and AI-sector multiples sustain upside skew in current pricing.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$115,416শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and August 19 comments from CFO Sara Friar—stating the company “will be a public company in 2027” or sooner if revenue inflects—anchor trader expectations for an IPO near term. Enterprise revenue already exceeds 40% of total and is projected to reach parity with consumer by year-end, supporting the 41.9% implied probability on a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. The latest March 2026 funding round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation following a $122 billion raise, establishing a base that positions 1–1.5 trillion bands (39.5% combined) as plausible outcomes. Persistent unprofitability and infrastructure costs create the residual 14.1% chance of no IPO by end-2027, while revenue momentum and AI-sector multiples sustain upside skew in current pricing.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ভলিউম
$115,416শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and August 19 comments from CFO Sara Friar—stating the company “will be a public company in 2027” or sooner if revenue inflects—anchor trader expectations for an IPO near term. Enterprise revenue already exceeds 40% of total and is projected to reach parity with consumer by year-end, supporting the 41.9% implied probability on a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. The latest March 2026 funding round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation following a $122 billion raise, establishing a base that positions 1–1.5 trillion bands (39.5% combined) as plausible outcomes. Persistent unprofitability and infrastructure costs create the residual 14.1% chance of no IPO by end-2027, while revenue momentum and AI-sector multiples sustain upside skew in current pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা