OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and its March $852 billion private valuation from a $122 billion round remain the dominant anchors for Polymarket’s tightly bunched $1.0–1.5 trillion buckets, which together command nearly 60 percent implied probability. Traders are pricing in continued revenue expansion past the reported $25 billion annualized run rate while discounting heavy ongoing losses and the risk that public investors will apply lower multiples than private rounds. Potential 2027 timing, competition from Anthropic’s expected debut, and infrastructure spending commitments add uncertainty around final pricing, keeping outcomes between $1.0 trillion and $1.75 trillion the clear market consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
$1.0T–$1.25T 35%
$1.25T–$1.5T 25.1%
$1.5T–$1.75T 16.7%
<$1T 11.5%
$19,382 Vol.
$19,382 Vol.
<$1T
12%
$1.0T–$1.25T
35%
$1.25T–$1.5T
25%
$1.5T–$1.75T
17%
$1.75T–$2.0T
12%
$2.0T–$2.25T
1%
$2.25T–$2.5T
1%
$2.5T+
3%
$1.0T–$1.25T 35%
$1.25T–$1.5T 25.1%
$1.5T–$1.75T 16.7%
<$1T 11.5%
$19,382 Vol.
$19,382 Vol.
<$1T
12%
$1.0T–$1.25T
35%
$1.25T–$1.5T
25%
$1.5T–$1.75T
17%
$1.75T–$2.0T
12%
$2.0T–$2.25T
1%
$2.25T–$2.5T
1%
$2.5T+
3%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and its March $852 billion private valuation from a $122 billion round remain the dominant anchors for Polymarket’s tightly bunched $1.0–1.5 trillion buckets, which together command nearly 60 percent implied probability. Traders are pricing in continued revenue expansion past the reported $25 billion annualized run rate while discounting heavy ongoing losses and the risk that public investors will apply lower multiples than private rounds. Potential 2027 timing, competition from Anthropic’s expected debut, and infrastructure spending commitments add uncertainty around final pricing, keeping outcomes between $1.0 trillion and $1.75 trillion the clear market consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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