Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS consensus indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on August 28 will likely fall in the 14–16 °C range, driven by a shift to northerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Prior days featured clear skies and highs near 32 °C, allowing stronger surface cooling; the incoming pattern introduces light winds and possible scattered showers that moderate the diurnal range. Key uncertainties differentiating single-degree bins center on exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point depression overnight—factors where ensemble spreads remain several degrees wide even 48 hours out. Historical August minima average near 15 °C, providing climatological context for the current tight market clustering around mid-teens values.