**Clear skies and radiative cooling under building high pressure are the main drivers behind trader positioning around 9–11°C for Cape Town’s August 30 minimum.** Recent model runs from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts show overnight lows settling near 9–12°C after daytime highs of 15–16°C, aided by light southerly to southeasterly winds and low humidity that enhance surface cooling once the sun sets. Historical August climatology places typical overnight lows near 9–10°C, providing a baseline traders weigh against current dry-air advection. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds creates the tight clustering between 9°C, 10°C, and 11°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at official stations before sunrise.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
16°C or higher 55%
7°C 47%
11°C 31%
10°C 30%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
47%
8°C
24%
9°C
26%
10°C
30%
11°C
31%
12°C
24%
13°C
21%
14°C
15%
15°C
3%
16°C or higher
55%
16°C or higher 55%
7°C 47%
11°C 31%
10°C 30%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
47%
8°C
24%
9°C
26%
10°C
30%
11°C
31%
12°C
24%
13°C
21%
14°C
15%
15°C
3%
16°C or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and radiative cooling under building high pressure are the main drivers behind trader positioning around 9–11°C for Cape Town’s August 30 minimum.** Recent model runs from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts show overnight lows settling near 9–12°C after daytime highs of 15–16°C, aided by light southerly to southeasterly winds and low humidity that enhance surface cooling once the sun sets. Historical August climatology places typical overnight lows near 9–10°C, providing a baseline traders weigh against current dry-air advection. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds creates the tight clustering between 9°C, 10°C, and 11°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at official stations before sunrise.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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