**Recent forecast model runs from sources like GFS and local meteorological services indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on September 24 will likely fall in the 13–16°C range, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern following recent showers.** This consensus aligns with climatological norms for late September, where average minimums hover near 14–15°C, and supports elevated market-implied odds for outcomes around 11–16°C while tempering expectations for extremes. Warmer-than-expected model guidance in some runs has boosted the 17°C-or-higher bin to the lead at 49%, reflecting trader assessment of uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential model spread. The 7°C-or-below outcome at 25% reflects low but non-zero tail risk from stronger radiative cooling under clear conditions. Updated model cycles and any revised observational data from regional stations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 24?
7°C or below 98%
17°C or higher 98%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 24, 2026
7°C or below
98%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
22%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C or higher
98%
7°C or below 98%
17°C or higher 98%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 24, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
98%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$6 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model runs from sources like GFS and local meteorological services indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on September 24 will likely fall in the 13–16°C range, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern following recent showers.** This consensus aligns with climatological norms for late September, where average minimums hover near 14–15°C, and supports elevated market-implied odds for outcomes around 11–16°C while tempering expectations for extremes. Warmer-than-expected model guidance in some runs has boosted the 17°C-or-higher bin to the lead at 49%, reflecting trader assessment of uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential model spread. The 7°C-or-below outcome at 25% reflects low but non-zero tail risk from stronger radiative cooling under clear conditions. Updated model cycles and any revised observational data from regional stations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ভলিউম
$6শেষ তারিখ
Sep 24, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model runs from sources like GFS and local meteorological services indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on September 24 will likely fall in the 13–16°C range, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern following recent showers.** This consensus aligns with climatological norms for late September, where average minimums hover near 14–15°C, and supports elevated market-implied odds for outcomes around 11–16°C while tempering expectations for extremes. Warmer-than-expected model guidance in some runs has boosted the 17°C-or-higher bin to the lead at 49%, reflecting trader assessment of uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential model spread. The 7°C-or-below outcome at 25% reflects low but non-zero tail risk from stronger radiative cooling under clear conditions. Updated model cycles and any revised observational data from regional stations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$6শেষ তারিখ
Sep 24, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47de9d...**Recent forecast model runs from sources like GFS and local meteorological services indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on September 24 will likely fall in the 13–16°C range, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern following recent showers.** This consensus aligns with climatological norms for late September, where average minimums hover near 14–15°C, and supports elevated market-implied odds for outcomes around 11–16°C while tempering expectations for extremes. Warmer-than-expected model guidance in some runs has boosted the 17°C-or-higher bin to the lead at 49%, reflecting trader assessment of uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential model spread. The 7°C-or-below outcome at 25% reflects low but non-zero tail risk from stronger radiative cooling under clear conditions. Updated model cycles and any revised observational data from regional stations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা