Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow and cloud cover are positioning the lowest temperature in Jinan on August 24 well above seasonal norms, supporting the 55% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher. Official forecasts from multiple sources project overnight lows near 26–27°C amid scattered thunderstorms and minimal radiational cooling, consistent with recent August observations showing minimums rarely dipping below 23°C without strong cold advection. The 27% odds on 12°C or below and clustered probabilities around 19–21°C reflect low trader confidence in atypical cooling, as model consensus indicates stable warm air masses through the period. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Jinan on August 24?
12°C or below 54%
19°C 52%
20°C 52%
21°C 52%
12°C or below
54%
13°C
42%
14°C
42%
15°C
42%
16°C
42%
17°C
42%
18°C
42%
19°C
52%
20°C
52%
21°C
52%
22°C or higher
55%
12°C or below 54%
19°C 52%
20°C 52%
21°C 52%
12°C or below
54%
13°C
42%
14°C
42%
15°C
42%
16°C
42%
17°C
42%
18°C
42%
19°C
52%
20°C
52%
21°C
52%
22°C or higher
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow and cloud cover are positioning the lowest temperature in Jinan on August 24 well above seasonal norms, supporting the 55% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher. Official forecasts from multiple sources project overnight lows near 26–27°C amid scattered thunderstorms and minimal radiational cooling, consistent with recent August observations showing minimums rarely dipping below 23°C without strong cold advection. The 27% odds on 12°C or below and clustered probabilities around 19–21°C reflect low trader confidence in atypical cooling, as model consensus indicates stable warm air masses through the period. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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