**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity, and recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh are anchoring trader expectations for Lucknow’s September 4 minimum temperature near 25–26 °C.** Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global models show overnight lows clustered in this narrow band, reflecting typical early-September conditions when widespread cloudiness limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent heavy rains (including 35+ mm recorded in Lucknow on September 2) have maintained elevated soil moisture and atmospheric humidity, further suppressing temperature drops. Differentiation among the tightly grouped outcomes (26 °C at 50 %, 25 °C at 46 %, 27 °C at 44.5 %) hinges on subtle variables: the precise timing and intensity of any overnight showers, wind speeds (lighter winds favor greater cooling), and model consensus on cloud persistence versus partial clearing. Historical September minima for the city average near 26 °C, providing a baseline that current conditions closely track. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest IMD guidance and short-range model runs, which continue to signal limited variability around these values amid the active monsoon regime.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 4?
24°C 94%
23°C 87%
28°C 87%
21°C or below 69%
21°C or below
69%
22°C
18%
23°C
87%
24°C
94%
25°C
45%
26°C
50%
27°C
47%
28°C
87%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
69%
24°C 94%
23°C 87%
28°C 87%
21°C or below 69%
21°C or below
69%
22°C
18%
23°C
87%
24°C
94%
25°C
45%
26°C
50%
27°C
47%
28°C
87%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity, and recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh are anchoring trader expectations for Lucknow’s September 4 minimum temperature near 25–26 °C.** Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global models show overnight lows clustered in this narrow band, reflecting typical early-September conditions when widespread cloudiness limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent heavy rains (including 35+ mm recorded in Lucknow on September 2) have maintained elevated soil moisture and atmospheric humidity, further suppressing temperature drops. Differentiation among the tightly grouped outcomes (26 °C at 50 %, 25 °C at 46 %, 27 °C at 44.5 %) hinges on subtle variables: the precise timing and intensity of any overnight showers, wind speeds (lighter winds favor greater cooling), and model consensus on cloud persistence versus partial clearing. Historical September minima for the city average near 26 °C, providing a baseline that current conditions closely track. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest IMD guidance and short-range model runs, which continue to signal limited variability around these values amid the active monsoon regime.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা