Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies show clear skies, light winds, and dry air over Madrid for September 7, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 20°C. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability for 20°C or below, reflecting trader consensus on stable high-pressure conditions without significant cold-air advection. Historical September 7 lows average around 17°C, yet the current warm anomaly—driven by persistent subtropical ridging—keeps probabilities for sub-20°C outcomes balanced near 50%. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine dew point and wind fields that control the exact low, with resolution hinging on the official overnight minimum recorded at the Madrid reference station.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Madrid on September 7?
30°C or higher 33%
24°C 28%
22°C 21%
25°C 19%
20°C or below
48%
21°C
18%
22°C
21%
23°C
2%
24°C
28%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
16%
28°C
15%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
33%
30°C or higher 33%
24°C 28%
22°C 21%
25°C 19%
20°C or below
48%
21°C
18%
22°C
21%
23°C
2%
24°C
28%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
16%
28°C
15%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
33%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies show clear skies, light winds, and dry air over Madrid for September 7, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 20°C. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability for 20°C or below, reflecting trader consensus on stable high-pressure conditions without significant cold-air advection. Historical September 7 lows average around 17°C, yet the current warm anomaly—driven by persistent subtropical ridging—keeps probabilities for sub-20°C outcomes balanced near 50%. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine dew point and wind fields that control the exact low, with resolution hinging on the official overnight minimum recorded at the Madrid reference station.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা