Current ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Met Office point to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 28 near 21–22°C under a warm, humid airmass. High dew points near 20°C and scattered cloud cover or thunderstorms will limit radiative cooling overnight, while light variable winds reduce boundary-layer mixing that could otherwise allow sharper drops. These conditions favor readings above the late-August climatological low of roughly 18–20°C. Model spread on cloud timing and convective development creates the observed market balance across bins, with fresh guidance from updated runs expected to narrow the range before resolution.